Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 6.160
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 6.532
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- The model uses profit in place of cash flow, which was not available.
- The latest cash flow is zero or negative.
Also note
- Trading liquidity is low.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 2 Dec 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Technical details
Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.
DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.
Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- −1.4712th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 7.1%74th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.
SAM's Beneish M-Score is -1.4948 (80th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +0.15, indicating accounting aggressiveness is higher than most domestic peers and has moved slightly in the last year. Earnings-quality components show weak cash conversion (0/100) and low revenue and margin quality (24.8/100 and 31.2/100) while receivables quality is strong (97.6/100); Altman Z‑Score is 1.98 (grey zone) and Piotroski F‑Score is 4/9 (neutral).
- M‑Score -1.4948 (80th VN percentile; YoY change +0.15): the company scores more aggressively on the Beneish model than 80% of Vietnamese peers and the score has moved toward more aggressive territory year-on-year (note the -1.78 US cutoff is not directly calibrated to Vietnam).
- Cash conversion (3‑year operating cash flow / net profit) = -1.47 (12th percentile among VN non-financials): reported profit is not converting into operating cash; cash conversion metric is very low.
- Earnings Quality — Cash conversion component = 0.0/100 and Revenue quality = 24.8/100, Margin quality = 31.2/100: these scores point to weak cash realization and low-quality revenue and margins in the period measured.
- Altman Z‑Score = 1.98 (grey zone): the distance from bankruptcy is limited by this metric, suggesting financial distress indicators are present compared with healthy firms.
- Director‑deal registrations: net registered volume +4.84% of shares outstanding (one sale registration for 10,000,000 shares and four purchase registrations totaling 29,500,000 shares) — these are exchange registrations of intent and may reflect insider interest or portfolio activity but are not executed trades.
- Receivables quality = 97.6/100 and Receivables outside the trade cycle = 7.1% of total assets (74th percentile): receivables appear high quality and the proportion outside the trade cycle is moderate relative to peers, which supports the receivables-quality score.
- Accruals quality = 74.1/100: accrual measures suggest accounting accruals are reasonably consistent with cash flows compared with peers.
- No accumulated losses; owner's equity (excluding minority interest) is positive; parent profit shows 0 consecutive years of net loss up to FY2025: the statutory balance-sheet and profit-position indicators are not showing statutory distress triggers.
- SGAI = 0.6817 (selling, general & administrative expense index below 1) and AQI = 0.9167 (asset quality index below 1): some expense and asset-quality indicators are better than the thresholds that often signal aggressive capitalization or expense manipulation.
A listed group holds control positions: an entity holds 85.7% of SLD (control) and 35.0% of DSP (significant influence), indicating concentrated group ownership. Top institutional shareholders are small (largest institutional stake 4.9%); director registration activity shows insider intent filings but these are registrations, not executed trades.
- Compare FY2025 operating cash flow and profit in the consolidated cash-flow statement and the notes to reconcile the -1.47 three‑year cash-conversion figure.
- Inspect the notes and schedules for 'Loans and receivables', 'Prepayments to suppliers' and 'Other long‑term receivables' to verify the 7.1% of total assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle.
- Review the statement of changes in equity and the retained earnings / undistributed earnings note to confirm there are no accumulated losses and that owner's equity (excluding minority interest) is positive.
- Check the director/shareholder disclosure filings and the exchange registration ledger (2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30) to match the 1 sale registration (10,000,000) and 4 purchase registrations (29,500,000) and to see any explanatory details or repeated registrant IDs.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.60
- P/S
- 0.40
- ROE
- 2.4%
- ROA
- 1.4%
- EPS
- 254
- BVPS
- 10.815
- Gross Margin
- 3.4%
- Net Margin
- 1.7%
- D/E
- 0.35
- Current Ratio
- 1.76
- Rev Growth
- +51.3%
- Profit Growth
- +10.1%
- EV/EBITDA
- 43.17
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 403M
- Charter Capital
- 4,028B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Công nghệ Thông tin
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Thiết bị và Phần cứng
- Sub-industry
- Thiết bị viễn thông
- Company Type
- CT