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PMJ

Công ty Cổ phần Vật tư Bưu điện

VietnamTechnologyCông nghệ Thông tinThiết bị và Phần cứngUPCOMCT
9.600
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
−8.5%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
9.600
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
8.784

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Công nghệ Thông tin→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Công nghệ Thông tin” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.80%
Ke
12.80%
x
E/(D+E)
75.68%
+
Kd(1-t)
1.77%
x
D/(D+E)
24.32%
=
WACC
10.12%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→8x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→9.600
Calibrated value vs last close→−8.5%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
8.784
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.12%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
8.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
9.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
10.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
11.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
12.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·85125951058195111789079807678
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·51147101013193043504631
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·000001010210008
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·541098795626583525735292837
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·23220.50.90.60.40.080.09547
Net Inventories
·25443894320.510.30.7
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·25443894320.710.53
Other current assets
·10.060.090.020.210.220.30.90.322
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·469121389777458
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·24691056554123
Tangible fixed assets
·24691056554123
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·2222222212223
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·3333333334446
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−1−1−1−1−1−1−1−1−2−2−2−2−3
Other non-current assets
·0.40.30.30.40.70.80.50.20.61222
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.20.10.080.20.50.60.300.20.91.000.3
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·8913110411794103119849786858186
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·51916673495572385242423744
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·51916673495470385140423744
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·2513107000000000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.41110.50.71122344
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·00000.2120.7110.20.50.3
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·38403844454847464544434442
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·38403844454847464544434442
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·18181818181818181818181818
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·20202424242424242424242222
Other Reserves
·0.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.20.50.300
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·0.12−423654420.920.9
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·8913110411794103119849786858186
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·18181818181818181818181818

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
35
Weak
Accrual Quality
37
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.13 · 60th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.31
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.888
GMI
0.681
AQI
1.532
SGI
0.556
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.673
TATA
0.185
LVGI
0.826

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
2.4%53rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.80
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.19
Negative
Composite
7
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.16×Interest Burden0.33×Op. Margin0.01×Turnover1.13×Leverage2.33=ROE0.1%
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.4%
Volatility
102.6%
Max Drawdown
−41.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
310.41P/E
P/B
0.40
P/S
0.15
ROE
0.1%
ROA
0.0%
EPS
27
BVPS
21.172
Gross Margin
18.0%
Net Margin
0.0%
D/E
0.66
Current Ratio
1.67
EV/EBITDA
9.79
Div Yield
12.5%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
1.8M
Charter Capital
18.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị viễn thông
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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