Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 9.600
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 11.610
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
- The model uses profit in place of cash flow, which was not available.
- The latest cash flow is zero or negative.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 2 Dec 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Technical details
Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.
DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.
Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- −1.8710th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 0.5%24th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.
The company's Beneish M-Score is -2.0348 (64th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +2.43, indicating accounting metrics moved toward more aggressive settings relative to peers though the raw score sits slightly below the US -1.78 cutoff. Earnings-quality is weak overall at 29.6/100 (notably Cash conversion 0.0/100 and Margin & Revenue quality 0.0/100) while solvency and operating fundamentals look healthier: Altman Z-Score 3.84 (safe zone) and Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (neutral).
- Beneish M-Score -2.0348 (64th percentile among Vietnamese peers; YoY change +2.43) — this measures a composite likelihood of earnings manipulation using eight ratios; the YoY move shows the accounting profile has trended toward more aggressive values relative to last year.
- SGAI (Selling, General & Administrative index) = 1.7167 — measures unusually large growth in SG&A relative to sales; high SGAI can signal expense capitalization or timing shifts in expense recognition.
- DEPI (Depreciation index) = 1.1726 — measures declining depreciation expense relative to gross PPE (which can inflate profits by reducing periodic depreciation).
- TATA (Total Accruals to Total Assets) = 0.1805 — measures accrual intensity; a relatively high positive accruals ratio indicates profit not matched by cash flows.
- LVGI (Leverage index) = 0.5428 — measures a fall in leverage (lower leverage index <1 can be associated with changes in financing or reclassification), which contributes to the M-Score movement.
- Earnings Quality score 29.6/100 with Cash conversion 0.0/100 and Margin quality 0.0/100 — the company shows weak conversion of reported profit into cash and weak margin persistence.
- Three-year cash conversion (operating cash flow / net profit) = -1.87 (10th percentile among Vietnamese non-financials) — over three years profits have not translated into operating cash, a liquidity/earnings quality concern.
- Director-deal registrations: one sale registration of 5,772,000 shares (net registered volume -28.31% of shares outstanding) disclosed during 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30 — registrations are intentions registered with the exchange, not actual executed trades.
- Receivables outside the trade cycle = 0.5% of total assets (24th percentile) — measures prepayments, loans receivable and long-term receivables; the level is low relative to peers and suggests limited off-cycle receivables buildup.
- AQI (Asset quality index) = 0.9041 — measures changes in non-current assets and write-offs; AQI <1 indicates no clear large increase in potentially write-down-prone assets relative to previous year.
- DSRI (Days Sales in Receivables index) = 0.9587 — measures receivables growth relative to sales; DSRI below 1 suggests receivables have not grown faster than revenue.
- Altman Z-Score = 3.84 (safe zone) — measures distance to bankruptcy using profitability, leverage, liquidity and activity ratios; the score indicates a comfortable buffer against bankruptcy risk on the standard Altman scale.
- Piotroski F-Score = 6/9 — a neutral-to-positive signal on fundamentals (profitability, leverage/liquidity, and operating efficiency) rather than a failing fundamental profile.
Top shareholder is Tập Đoàn Bưu Chính Viễn Thông Việt Nam (institution) with 28.3% — a concentrated, likely strategic/state-related holding. Insiders/individuals hold smaller stakes (largest individual 3.9%). Director-deal registrations show a large sale intention registered equivalent to -28.31% of shares outstanding, but registrations are not executed trades.
- Compare FY2025 operating cash flow and the cash-flow statement line items with net profit to verify the three-year cash-conversion ratio cited (-1.87).
- Match the Receivables and Other Receivables / Prepayments notes in the FY2025 financial statements to the 0.5% of total assets figure for receivables outside the trade cycle.
- Inspect the notes to property, plant and equipment (PPE) for changes in depreciation policy or useful lives to reconcile DEPI = 1.1726 (declining depreciation expense relative to gross PPE).
- Review the SG&A note and management discussion for explanations of the SG A increase (SGAI = 1.7167) — look for reclassifications, one-off items, or capitalization policies.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.35
- P/S
- 0.15
- ROE
- 18.3%
- ROA
- 11.7%
- EPS
- 4.839
- BVPS
- 28.915
- Gross Margin
- 1.9%
- Net Margin
- 7.5%
- D/E
- 0.26
- Current Ratio
- 3.75
- Rev Growth
- +15.1%
- Profit Growth
- +1304.2%
- EV/EBITDA
- 1.58
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 20.4M
- Charter Capital
- 204B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Viễn thông
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Viễn thông di động
- Sub-industry
- Viễn thông di động
- Company Type
- CT