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Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ & Truyền thông Việt Nam

VietnamTechnologyViễn thôngViễn thông cố địnhUPCOMCT
10.900
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+20.9%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
10.900
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.183

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
46.1%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

+6.9percentage points
Technology12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Technology peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−7.0+6.9
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Viễn thông→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Viễn thông” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.891
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.01%
Ke
11.01%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
11.01%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→12x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→10.900
Calibrated value vs last close→+20.9%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.183
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.01%
Growth rate8.00%growth method: default
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth5.0%6.5%8.0%9.5%11.0%
9.0%14.15514.15514.15515.25015.250
10.0%13.18313.18314.15514.15514.155
11.0%13.18313.18313.18313.18314.155
12.0%13.18313.18313.18313.18313.183
13.0%13.18313.18313.18313.18313.183
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·477421372347311304469190180123130129
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·6540538130113833391
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·1941638011002000000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·83105153129106150241136130779497
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·7746105722322
Net Inventories
·130111841241721421665046392326
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·130111841241721421665046392326
Other current assets
·532320.730.70.3545
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·156156157181176182204213177158165192
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·10.20.10.20.20.080.080.060.30.50.50.1
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·10.20.10.20.20.080.080.060.30.50.50.1
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·103115125131135157151159121116122134
Tangible fixed assets
·95106114120125151146155121116121132
Intagible fixed assets
·79111196440.60.040.52
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·000000303736293449
Investments in associate companies
·0000003000000
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·00000004949494949
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0000000−12−13−20−150
Other non-current assets
·128101011111313121085
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·128101011111313121085
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·632577529528487486673404357282295321
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1271028588176165371162166118114137
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·113917473159147366159163117114137
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00036850686364384766
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·313581650.320.421
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·13121115171853210.40
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00071013000.050.20.20
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·506475444441311321302242191164181184
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·506475444441311321302242191164181184
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·367367367367245245245245245245245245
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·614643403824222222
Other Reserves
·0.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.4
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·77613434275255−6−56−84−66−63
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·632577529528487486673404357282295321
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000050000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·367367367367245245245245245245245245

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
77
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
46
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.79 · 23rd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.61
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.681
GMI
1.093
AQI
1.179
SGI
1.162
DEPI
0.904
SGAI
0.781
TATA
−0.057
LVGI
1.140

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.8673rd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.3%41st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.56
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−1.64
Negative
Composite
86
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden1.02×Op. Margin0.21×Turnover0.66×Leverage1.25=ROE14.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
−30.8%
Volatility
21.0%
Max Drawdown
−44.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.67P/E
P/B
0.81
P/S
0.98
ROE
14.8%
ROA
12.0%
EPS
1.976
BVPS
13.767
Gross Margin
30.4%
Net Margin
17.3%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
4.21
Rev Growth
+15.9%
Profit Growth
+17.8%
EV/EBITDA
1.36
Div Yield
8.0%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
36.7M
Charter Capital
367B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Viễn thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Viễn thông cố định
Sub-industry
Viễn thông cố định
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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