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SGT

Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ Viễn thông Sài Gòn

VietnamTechnologyCông nghệ Thông tinPhần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tínhHOSECT
8.770
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+20.9%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
8.770
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.607

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
46.1%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

+6.9percentage points
Technology12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Technology peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−7.0+6.9
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Công nghệ Thông tin→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Công nghệ Thông tin” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.701
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.18%
Ke
10.18%
x
E/(D+E)
36.93%
+
Kd(1-t)
1.59%
x
D/(D+E)
63.07%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→8x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→8.770
Calibrated value vs last close→+20.9%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.607
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
8.0%9.3009.3009.3009.3009.300
9.0%N/AN/AN/AN/A8.025
10.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
11.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
12.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5,4946,0555,0613,4191,9981,4159089087729571,4471,006527
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·18412499858212323575361143914
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·225187902411205678000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1,3112,3232,1231,9221,2668674806736226241,158886492
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·558441450194240160114815478283230
Net Inventories
·3,7273,3852,7131,34863540816816079233254778
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·3,7273,3852,7131,34863540816816079233254778
Other current assets
·4636374114163111123220413
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·52110.90.60.40.20.10.060.0308
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,1552,1902,0862,0692,4191,1031,1821,0381,0171,0037248261,313
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·68752931823426144420.40
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·93922931313426144420.40
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·975263737779856965686432341
Tangible fixed assets
·97526373777985696568643239
Intagible fixed assets
·0.010.030.040.050.060.030.090.30.30.40.0600.04
Investment in properties
·2631533711341581862312461901322310
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1,2771,3721,3701,3691,878708649670675737518708953
Investments in associate companies
·8348288118041,31114000000019
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·740700700700620620699706706774541727958
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−297−156−140−135−53−53−50−36−31−37−24−19−24
Other non-current assets
·2513161723337328637138
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·19465917569637137
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7,6488,2457,1485,4884,4172,5182,0901,9461,7891,9612,1711,8331,840
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·5,2306,1535,1843,6293,3741,6581,3231,1931,1661,4491,7121,3961,429
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·3,2963,5032,3972,4341,398803927625637689545351803
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·1,8571,3951,4111,53691038933425416016317571206
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·131313691991333192731384516
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,9332,6512,7871,1951,9768553965685297601,1671,044627
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·1,8702,1771,9633691,1908287106223405624666538
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·2,4192,0911,9641,8591,043860767752623512459437409
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·2,4192,0911,9641,8591,043860767752623512459437409
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·1,4801,4801,4801,480740740740740740740740740740
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·6743412111719224120.7−117−228−281−303−331
Minority Interest
·0000000000001
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·7,6488,2457,1485,4884,4172,5182,0901,9461,7891,9612,1711,8331,840
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·12910814136538422211109300.800
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·00005200000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·1,4801,4801,4801,480740740740740740740740740740
Good will (Bn. VND)
·6810121416182000000
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·26527127320821096151200000

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
43
Weak
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
9
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.89 · 19th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.44
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.561
GMI
0.584
AQI
1.038
SGI
1.006
DEPI
1.231
SGAI
1.094
TATA
0.038
LVGI
0.980

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
−3.107th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
10.2%81st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.30
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−1.59
Negative
Composite
71
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.65×Interest Burden1.02×Op. Margin0.27×Turnover0.24×Leverage3.16=ROE13.5%
Price Risk
Momentum
−47.9%
Volatility
50.3%
Max Drawdown
−52.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.18P/E
P/B
0.65
P/S
0.75
ROE
16.7%
ROA
4.2%
EPS
2.249
BVPS
14.550
Gross Margin
47.2%
Net Margin
17.6%
D/E
1.54
Current Ratio
1.67
Rev Growth
+0.6%
Profit Growth
+155.9%
EV/EBITDA
6.98
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
148M
Charter Capital
1,480B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Sub-industry
Internet
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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