PXI
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng Công nghiệp và Dân dụng Dầu khí
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 500
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 696
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
- Under financial distress the model falls back to book value.
Also note
- The model’s gap was capped before calibration.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 29 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Very Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Construction and industrial firms have lumpy, project-based earnings that swing with the building cycle. Order books fill and empty, so a single year's profit is a poor guide to normal earning power. This model values them on through-cycle EBITDA: a 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) times a fair EV/EBITDA multiple, less net debt. It mirrors the cyclical model.
Technical details
Project-based revenue is lumpy and asset-backed. EV/EBITDA is capital-structure-neutral and undistorted by depreciation policy, and mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across the building cycle so a firm isn't overvalued at a peak or undervalued at a trough.
Computes 7-year median EBITDA and a fair EV/EBITDA from the firm's own history blended toward the construction-sector median. Net debt is taken directly from the balance sheet (short- plus long-term borrowings minus cash and short-term investments, which hold most term deposits). Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.
Construction & materials and industrial goods & services companies with lumpy, project-based revenue and asset-backed balance sheets.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 5.1%68th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- 0.59×
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.
PXI's Beneish M‑Score is 0.5768 (95th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year‑over‑year decline of -0.21; this places the company high in peer ranking for accounting aggressiveness but with a modest improvement this year. Earnings‑quality metrics are mixed: accruals quality and receivables quality score very highly (97.5/100 and 100.0/100) while cash conversion, margin quality and revenue quality score 0/100. The Altman Z‑Score is -0.20 (distress zone) while the Piotroski F‑Score is 6/9 (neutral fundamentals).
- High relative Beneish M‑Score: 0.5768 and 95th percentile among Vietnamese peers — the M‑Score is a composite intended to flag earnings manipulation risk; the peer percentile indicates PXI is more aggressive vs local peers even though the absolute -1.78 US cutoff is not directly calibrated to Vietnam.
- Low cash conversion and revenue/margin quality: Earnings‑Quality Score 44.4/100 with Cash conversion = 0.0/100, Margin quality = 0.0/100 and Revenue quality = 0.0/100 — these three measures indicate weak cash generation relative to reported profits and weak stability of margins and revenue streams in the scoring framework.
- Altman Z‑Score in distress zone: -0.20 — this Z‑Score measures distance to bankruptcy using working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity and sales; a negative score signals limited buffer under that model.
- Accumulated losses material relative to capital: Accumulated losses = 0.59x paid‑in capital — this is a measurable, published shortfall against contributed capital.
- Receivables outside trade cycle present: 5.1% of total assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle (ranked 68th percentile) — the line includes prepayments to suppliers, loans receivable and other long‑term receivables and can obscure the cash conversion picture if large or opaque.
- Group control concentration: PVX holds 51.0% (control) — a single listed parent has majority control (disclosed 2026‑06‑30), which raises considerations about related‑party flows and intra‑group transactions in the financials.
- Strong accruals and receivables metrics: Accruals quality = 97.5/100 and Receivables quality = 100.0/100 — TATA (total accruals) = 0.0062 indicates low aggregate accruals in the Beneish inputs, and DSRI = 0.2619 (Days' Sales Receivable Index) is low, suggesting receivables are not expanding relative to sales in that index.
- Some stability in M‑Score trajectory: Year‑over‑year M‑Score change = -0.21 (an improvement) even though the absolute score is high vs peers — the YoY direction is a secondary cue because consecutive M‑Scores correlate weakly.
- Piotroski fundamentals are neutral to positive: F‑Score = 6/9 — this indicates several healthy signals in profitability, leverage/liquidity, and operating efficiency in Piotroski's nine‑point checklist.
- Limited abnormal depreciation/SG&A signals in Beneish components: DEPI = 0.8370 (Depreciation Index) and SGAI = 0.2747 (SG&A Index) do not suggest large upward pressure from accelerated/deferred depreciation or abnormal SG&A inflation in the Beneish inputs; AQI = 1.0801 (Asset Quality Index) is modestly elevated but not extreme.
Control is concentrated: PVX (Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Dầu khí Việt Nam) holds 51.0% (control). Other significant listed group holdings under the same parent include multiple construction/pipe/installation subsidiaries. Institutional holder EZ holds 10.0%; remaining individual holdings are small (largest individual 4.9%). The majority listed parent and multi‑entity group structure suggest potential for related‑party transactions and centralised decision making.
- Compare the FY2025 'Prepayments to suppliers', 'Loans receivable' and 'Other long‑term receivables' line items with the note disclosing related‑party transactions and the schedule of receivables to confirm composition of the 5.1% of assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle.
- Reconcile the total accruals/TATA input (reported TATA = 0.0062) with the cash flow statement: compare profit before tax to cash flows from operations and the movements in working capital lines to confirm low net accruals.
- Review the statutory retained earnings/accumulated losses note and the statement of changes in equity to locate the accumulated losses = 0.59× paid‑in capital and any explanatory disclosures.
- Examine the related‑party note and transactions schedules in the annual report for intra‑group sales, loans or guarantees between PXI and PVX (the 51.0% controlling shareholder) or the listed sibling companies to understand concentration and terms.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.11
- P/S
- 1.03
- ROE
- 0.4%
- ROA
- 0.2%
- EPS
- 17
- BVPS
- 4.566
- Gross Margin
- 4.6%
- Net Margin
- 3.5%
- D/E
- 0.00
- Current Ratio
- 1.79
- Rev Growth
- +214.9%
- Profit Growth
- +35.9%
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 30.0M
- Charter Capital
- 300B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Xây dựng và Vật liệu
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Xây dựng và Vật liệu
- Sub-industry
- Xây dựng
- Company Type
- CT