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Tổng Công ty Sản xuất - Xuất nhập khẩu Bình Dương - Công ty cổ phần

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnUPCOMCT
9.900
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.6%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
9.900
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
11.548

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.110
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.97%
Ke
11.97%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
11.97%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→9.900
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.6%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
11.548
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.97%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow86.5 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
10.0%11.54811.54811.54811.54811.548
11.0%11.54811.54811.54811.54811.548
12.0%11.54811.54811.54811.54811.548
13.0%11.54811.54811.54811.54811.548
14.0%11.54811.54811.54811.54811.548
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,1081,9582,0532,6782,1962,2412,6602,2082,3742,6221,9221,7332,786
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·390355547311286818219275492214264203198
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·65062232064539630174408960355
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·5034426387745566151,5951,0086421,1541,3961,108557
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·62134451084344977263839105
Net Inventories
·5274985075646537407958861,1451,2011693461,564
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·5655365466036677548158861,1451,2021703471,566
Other current assets
·3840403843053933359252316112
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000000098
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,5293,6143,7793,0593,7504,2233,0133,4812,8753,2743,1543,7722,606
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·83090197181423532531698314474469422394
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·9729729720.130138129404314315309296394
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·1,3861,4691,5471,7132,0062,1889641,017270332476471630
Tangible fixed assets
·8799369881,1281,3941,550434463235237321370401
Intagible fixed assets
·5075335605856116385305543595155100101
Investment in properties
·184187190193195174898911719911311685
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·8788338208057958991,0911,3621,1781,1061,0511,2171,225
Investments in associate companies
·8668318188037938971,0911,3611,1781,1051,0501,2121,206
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·2222220.50.50.50.50.7923
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·00000000000−4−4
Goodwill
·000000000000241
Other non-current assets
·869411713816119720422735438620824432
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·869411713816119720422798162628
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5,6375,5725,8325,7375,9456,4655,6735,6895,2495,8965,0765,5055,392
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1,6631,5861,8511,6111,9162,4392,5102,7473,3923,6252,6683,0783,609
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,3801,2861,5321,2401,4711,9042,2692,5973,0542,9072,0541,7262,032
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00203841581514558497179371,0061,072984
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·4812312423481231641,127681152316
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·2823003203714455352411503387186141,3511,577
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00044131232340120490115211357
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·3,9753,9853,9814,1264,0294,0263,1632,9421,8562,2702,4082,4281,664
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·3,9753,9853,9814,1264,0294,0263,1632,9421,8562,2702,4082,4281,664
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·3,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0001,3501,3501,3501,350684
Other Reserves
·121212121212121232151515
Difference upon Assets Revaluation
·−35−35−35−35−35−35−35−3500000
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·−149−164−176−139−461033287375819492
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·8968645555451912143288377168389
Other Reserves
·000000000.040.040.040.040
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·601661726816561473115−93271542420664459
Minority Interest
·000000000000120
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·5,6375,5725,8325,7375,9456,4655,6735,6895,2495,8965,0765,5055,392
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·9210715017675241441471167606434720
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·1010101011711711710001601260
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·3,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0001,3501,3501,3501,350684
Good will (Bn. VND)
·000000003453791882150
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·457443392418483520191916141651370

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
61
Margin Stability
54
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.48 · 40th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.40
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.074
GMI
0.919
AQI
0.987
SGI
1.060
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.013
TATA
−0.012
LVGI
1.061

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.0146th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
20.2%91st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
9/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.72
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−0.38
Negative
Composite
22
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.79×Interest Burden1.01×Op. Margin0.16×Turnover0.19×Leverage1.42=ROE3.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
−13.8%
Volatility
105.0%
Max Drawdown
−32.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
33.26P/E
P/B
0.86
P/S
2.90
ROE
2.6%
ROA
1.6%
EPS
304
BVPS
11.725
Gross Margin
33.1%
Net Margin
12.7%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
1.53
Rev Growth
+5.8%
Profit Growth
+8.2%
EV/EBITDA
16.80
Div Yield
3.0%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
300M
Charter Capital
3,000B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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