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Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ thông tin, Viễn thông và Tự động hóa Dầu khí

VietnamTechnologyViễn thôngViễn thông cố địnhUPCOMCT
10.300
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+6.0%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
10.300
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.922

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Viễn thông→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Viễn thông” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.80%
Ke
12.80%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.80%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→8x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→10.300
Calibrated value vs last close→+6.0%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.922
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)12.80%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
10.8%12.45712.45712.45712.45712.457
11.8%12.45712.45712.45712.45712.457
12.8%12.45712.45712.45712.45712.457
13.8%11.63112.38812.45712.45712.457
14.8%10.92210.92210.92210.92212.457
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5762585678·747156505359
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·599416·71917142421
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·3330313423·2920202000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1922171738·372919162233
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.95361·1.010.330.51
Net Inventories
·0.10.90.20.10.3·0.120.20.164
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.10.90.20.10.3·0.120.20.164
Other current assets
·0.60.50.70.50.3·0.410.40.60.60.9
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·911151714·92257726
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.030.030.030.010.03·9190.80.1010.2
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.030.030.030.010.03·0.030.80.80.1010.2
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·910101112·0.30.20.40.60.100.4
Tangible fixed assets
·910101112·0.30.20.40.60.100.4
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·00440·000000
Other non-current assets
·0.510.623·0.040.5110.71.0
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.510.623·0.040.5110.71.0
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·6673737293·839262576085
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1824242444·374817132047
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1824242444·282917132029
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00000·002000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·141.070.5·0.820.120.030.2
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·00000·91800018
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·4949494848·464545444138
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·4949494848·464545444138
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·4242424242·424242424242
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·0.80.80.80.80.8·0.80.80.70.70.70.6
Other Reserves
·0.40.40.40.40.4·0.40.40.40.40.40.4
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·55645·2120.5−3−5
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·6673737293·839262576085
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·4242424242·424242424242

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
39
Weak
Accrual Quality
80
Cash Conversion
13
Receivables
19
Margin Stability
40

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.66 · 30th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.65
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.203
GMI
0.739
AQI
0.502
SGI
0.712
DEPI
0.957
SGAI
1.360
TATA
0.049
LVGI
0.805

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
−0.0122nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.4%42nd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.04
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.15
Negative
Composite
34
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.79×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.07×Turnover1.10×Leverage1.36=ROE8.0%
Price Risk
Momentum
+14.4%
Volatility
91.0%
Max Drawdown
−43.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.19P/E
P/B
0.90
P/S
0.60
ROE
8.0%
ROA
5.6%
EPS
920
BVPS
11.477
Gross Margin
28.5%
Net Margin
5.4%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
3.23
EV/EBITDA
1.52
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
4.2M
Charter Capital
42.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Viễn thông
Industry (ICB L3)
Viễn thông cố định
Sub-industry
Viễn thông cố định
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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