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FRT

Công ty Cổ phần Bán lẻ Kỹ thuật số FPT

VietnamConsumerBán lẻHOSECT
138.300
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close near calibrated value
+1.4%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
138.300
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
140.213

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
44.3%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

−7.4percentage points
Consumer12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Consumer peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+5.5
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bán lẻ→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Bán lẻ” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.911
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.10%
Ke
11.10%
x
E/(D+E)
19.41%
+
Kd(1-t)
2.78%
x
D/(D+E)
80.59%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend11.08%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→315.32B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→138.300
Calibrated value vs last close→+1.4%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
140.213
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate11.08%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow315.3 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth8.1%9.6%11.1%12.6%14.1%
8.0%140.213140.213140.213140.213140.213
9.0%140.213140.213140.213140.213140.213
10.0%134.185134.185134.185140.213140.213
11.0%112.105112.105134.185134.185134.185
12.0%109.137109.137112.105112.105134.185
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·21,78714,02611,4159,32710,1854,9606,1734,8153,5094,4092,4301,421664
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·2,8702,0989617461,1057028709486381,458789300166
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·5,9299861,1941,1191,821788495400.3503620
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·7294173945381,9481,4981,1781,2071,01686530811356
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·9544497412994971446199544713
Net Inventories
·11,92710,2358,4276,4844,9301,8273,3842,5061,7231,9481,206599400
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·12,01310,2918,4706,5264,9761,8533,3992,5201,7291,9861,229615404
Other current assets
·333291439440380145247150131138764642
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000010.3
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,9271,8061,6831,19763542842135236230219415193
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·1941831791701371161058476665200
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·1941831791701371161058476665200
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·1,5741,4461,308847448514946462454
Tangible fixed assets
·1,1971,1571,07967529297550.6231
Intagible fixed assets
·378289228172156424240411223
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·0000000000000.09
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000000.09
Other non-current assets
·1571691951785026126722324023413914689
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·1571691951784925826722324023413910764
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·23,71415,83313,09810,52410,8205,3886,5945,1683,8714,7102,6231,571758
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·18,57513,71311,3798,4749,1414,1625,3144,0093,0754,1952,3111,510736
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·18,57413,71211,3798,4749,1414,1625,3084,0093,0754,1952,3111,510736
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·10,0528,8008,1085,3636,0472,4863,6982,9471,1732,4351,681948386
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·62382335542819141335963
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.70.60.60.090.0906000000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·5,1392,1201,7192,0491,6791,2251,2791,1597965153126121
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·5,1392,1201,7192,0491,6791,2251,2791,1597965153126121
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·1,7031,3621,3621,1857907907906804002002008989
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·2,468549237824872424484454396315114−25−66
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·23,71415,83313,09810,52410,8205,3886,5945,1683,8714,7102,6231,571758
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·000401,5608853221200280000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·1,7031,3621,3621,1857907907906804002002008989
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·96820812041171162500000

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
57
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
48

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.38 · 45th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.26
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.372
GMI
0.965
AQI
0.654
SGI
1.274
DEPI
0.886
SGAI
0.990
TATA
−0.074
LVGI
0.904

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.4362nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.2%39th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
3.45
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.02
Positive
Composite
29
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.81×Interest Burden1.01×Op. Margin0.02×Turnover2.15×Leverage4.61=ROE19.2%
Price Risk
Momentum
+8.3%
Volatility
38.2%
Max Drawdown
−37.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
33.45P/E
P/B
6.37
P/S
0.52
ROE
26.1%
ROA
4.0%
EPS
4.667
BVPS
24.495
Gross Margin
19.6%
Net Margin
1.9%
D/E
1.96
Current Ratio
1.17
Rev Growth
+27.3%
Profit Growth
+150.3%
EV/EBITDA
16.79
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
179M
Charter Capital
1,788B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Phân phối hàng chuyên dụng
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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