UNI
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Sao Mai Việt
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 6.800
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 6.222
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
- The model uses profit in place of cash flow, which was not available.
- The latest cash flow is zero or negative.
- Recent losses require review of cash-flow assumptions.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 2 Dec 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Technical details
Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.
DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.
Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- −53.621st pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 27.4%94th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 1
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.
The firm's Beneish M-Score is 0.8494 (95th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +2.89, indicating its accounting profile is more aggressive than most Vietnamese listed peers and that the accounting metrics have recently moved. Earnings-quality metrics are mixed: accruals quality is high (97.9/100) and receivables quality is high (100.0/100), but cash conversion is very weak (0.0/100) and margin and revenue quality are poor (0.0/100 and 11.5/100). The Altman Z-Score is 1.52 (in the distress zone) and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9 (weak fundamentals).
- High Beneish M-Score: 0.8494 and ranked at the 95th percentile vs Vietnamese peers — the company scores as more aggressive than most peers; the M-Score rose by +2.89 year-over-year (the YoY shift is a separate cue because consecutive-year M-Scores correlate weakly). Note: the -1.78 US cutoff is not directly applicable to Vietnam, so peer percentile and trajectory are emphasized.
- Extremely poor cash conversion: three-year operating cash flow / net profit = -53.62 (1st percentile among Vietnamese non-financial companies), showing profits are not converting to operating cash.
- Distress-zone Altman Z-Score: 1.52, indicating limited distance from bankruptcy benchmarks used in the Altman model.
- Weak operating and earnings fundamentals: Piotroski F-Score = 2/9 and overall Earnings Quality = 46.2/100; specifically margin quality = 0.0/100 and revenue quality = 11.5/100.
- Receivables/outside-trade-cycle exposure: 27.4% of total assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle (94th percentile), which in the Vietnamese context often includes prepayments to suppliers, loans to related parties or long-term receivables.
- Director-deal activity: 14 sale registrations (9 registrants; 15,555,281 shares; 7 registrations without a volume) and 13 purchase registrations (5 registrants; 16,100,000 shares; 11 without a volume) were disclosed in the 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30 window — these are registered intentions with the exchange, not confirmed executed trades.
- High accruals quality: 97.9/100, which suggests reported earnings are not driven by large abnormal accruals under the accrual-quality metric.
- Receivables quality score: 100.0/100, indicating on-balance-sheet receivables pass whatever internal criteria underpin the score, despite the high level of receivables outside the trade cycle (this points to potential complexity rather than automatic impairment).
- Low discretionary TATA: Total Accruals (TATA) = 0.0051, a small number consistent with the high accruals-quality score.
- Some expense patterns: SGAI = 0.4867 (SG&A index below 1) and DSRI = 0.7035 (days-sales-in-receivables index below 1), which for those specific indices indicate reduced SG&A relative to prior year and fewer days sales in receivables on the conventional Beneish terms.
Ownership is concentrated: three parties together hold ~62.9% (Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Phát Triển Tổng Hợp Nhân Nghĩa 21.8%, Nguyễn Thị Thanh Tâm 21.5%, Nguyễn Thị Kim Tuyến 19.6%), with an additional institutional holder (Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Thành Công) at 14.3% and another individual at 9.2%. Several insiders and large holders registered buy and sell intentions during the latest 12 months (see director-deal registrations), which are exchange-registered intentions rather than executed transactions.
- Compare the 2025 schedule/note for 'receivables and prepayments' to see the composition of the 27.4% of total assets reported as receivables outside the trade cycle (identify amounts classified as loans to related parties, prepayments to suppliers, and long-term receivables).
- Reconcile the consolidated and parent operating cash flow statements and the note(s) to cash flows to confirm the drivers of the three-year cash conversion ratio of -53.62 (identify non-cash items, working-capital movements and related-party cash flows).
- Examine the revenue note and any segment or contract disclosures to reconcile the revenue quality score (11.5/100): check the recognition basis, major one-off revenue items, and any related-party revenue schedules.
- Inspect the auditor's report and the statutory notes on accumulated losses and equity to verify the statements cited: confirm undistributed earnings are positive, parent net loss occurred in 1 consecutive year up to FY2025, and that none of the statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020 Art.120(1)(e) as amended) are met.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.64
- P/S
- 61.56
- ROE
- 0.0%
- ROA
- 0.0%
- EPS
- 0
- BVPS
- 10.173
- Gross Margin
- 47.8%
- Net Margin
- −0.2%
- D/E
- 0.17
- Current Ratio
- 6.72
- Rev Growth
- +321.7%
- Profit Growth
- +9688.0%
- EV/EBITDA
- 594.72
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 42.6M
- Charter Capital
- 426B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Công nghệ Thông tin
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
- Sub-industry
- Dịch vụ Máy tính
- Company Type
- CT