TBD
Tổng công ty Thiết bị điện Đông Anh - Công ty Cổ phần
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 94.600
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 116.642
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- The date of the last close could not be confirmed.
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Technical details
Commodity/basic-material earnings swing with global prices. Using mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across booms and busts, preventing overpayment at cyclical peaks. EV/EBITDA is preferred over P/E because it's capital-structure-neutral and not distorted by depreciation policies.
Computes the 7-year median EBITDA and the 7-year median EV/EBITDA. With fewer than 5 years of its own EBITDA, the company's EBITDA is estimated as revenue x the sector median margin. When mid-cycle EBITDA is not positive, the value is 70% of book value per share. Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.
Commodity producers, basic materials, chemicals, and oil & gas companies with multi-year earnings cycles.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- −0.1320th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 2.1%50th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.
The company shows mixed signals: the Beneish M-Score is -0.7092 (89th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +1.75, indicating its accounting metrics are more aggressive than most Vietnamese peers and have moved materially this year. Earnings-quality metrics are uneven — a very weak cash conversion (3-year operating cash / net profit = -0.13, 20th percentile) and low margin quality (20.1/100) contrast with a high Altman Z-Score of 5.46 (distance from bankruptcy) and a neutral Piotroski F-Score of 6/9.
- Beneish M-Score = -0.7092 (measures likelihood of earnings manipulation using eight ratios); at the 89th Vietnam percentile this company ranks as more aggressive in accounting than 89% of Vietnamese peers. The M-Score rose by +1.75 year-over-year, indicating a notable shift in the underlying components.
- Accruals / cash-flow concern: 3-year cash conversion (operating cash flow / net profit) = -0.13 (20th percentile among Vietnamese non-financials). This measures whether reported profit is being supported by cash — a negative value and low percentile suggest profits have not converted into cash over the last three years.
- High AQI component: AQI = 2.5336 (part of the M-Score; measures asset quality changes such as increases in receivables, inventory, and other long-term assets relative to sales). A value above 1 indicates rising asset-based non-cash items relative to sales.
- TATA (total accruals to total assets) = 0.1989, which measures the scale of accruals relative to assets; elevated accruals can indicate earnings managed via non-cash items.
- Margin quality = 20.1/100 and SGAI = 1.0459 (SG&A expense growth index >1), indicating pressures on margin sustainability and rising operating expenses relative to sales (SGAI measures change in SG&A/sales).
- Receivables outside the trade cycle = 2.1% of total assets (50th percentile). This metric (prepayments, loans receivable and other long-term receivables) is average among Vietnamese peers, reducing concern about unusually large non-trade receivables.
- Receivables quality score = 82.4/100, indicating reported receivables appear relatively high quality versus available checks.
- Altman Z-Score = 5.46 (measures short-term bankruptcy/financial distress risk); this value places the company well inside the ‘safe’ zone for distress risk.
- Piotroski F-Score = 6/9 (measures nine fundamental signals including profitability, leverage, liquidity and operating efficiency); a 6 is a neutral-to-positive fundamental profile.
- No accumulated losses; owner's equity (excluding minority interest) is positive and the parent has reported no net loss in the last 3 years (0 years of net loss up to FY2025), which are favorable statutory balance-sheet facts.
Ownership is highly concentrated and dominated by two large institutions: Gelex holds 46.9% and Vietnam Electricity (EVN) holds 46.5%, together controlling 93.4% of shares. No director-deal registrations were provided in the supplied data (director-deal registrations are intentions registered with the exchange rather than executed trades).
- Compare the FY2025 and prior years’ operating cash flow line in the consolidated cash-flow statement with consolidated net profit to verify the -0.13 three-year cash-conversion figure and reconcile large differences in specific years.
- Inspect the notes for receivables, prepayments and other long-term receivables (aging and related-party breakdown) to validate the 2.1% of total-assets figure and whether receivables outside the trade cycle include related-party balances.
- Review the supporting schedules for 'changes in fixed and other non-current assets' and the asset composition note to confirm components that feed into AQI = 2.5336 (increases in non-current or slow-turning assets relative to sales).
- Reconcile total accruals/TATA (0.1989) by comparing profit-before-tax to cash from operations and reviewing the reconciliation in the accounts (accrual items such as provisions, unrealised FX, deferred revenue) in the auditor's notes.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 4.07
- P/S
- 1.05
- ROE
- 31.9%
- ROA
- 10.5%
- EPS
- 6.809
- BVPS
- 23.260
- Gross Margin
- 15.5%
- Net Margin
- 7.6%
- D/E
- 1.25
- Current Ratio
- 1.36
- Rev Growth
- +29.6%
- Profit Growth
- +53.0%
- EV/EBITDA
- 12.08
- Div Yield
- 2.1%
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 32.4M
- Charter Capital
- 324B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
- Sub-industry
- Thiết bị điện
- Company Type
- CT