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MNB

Tổng Công ty May Nhà Bè - Công ty Cổ phần

VietnamCyclicalsHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngHàng cá nhânUPCOMCT
28.500
VND · Close 26 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+23.3%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
28.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
35.141

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Hàng May mặc→Cyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector “Hàng May mặc” maps to the cyclical group.
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Technical details
Why this model

Commodity/basic-material earnings swing with global prices. Using mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across booms and busts, preventing overpayment at cyclical peaks. EV/EBITDA is preferred over P/E because it's capital-structure-neutral and not distorted by depreciation policies.

How it works

Computes the 7-year median EBITDA and the 7-year median EV/EBITDA. With fewer than 5 years of its own EBITDA, the company's EBITDA is estimated as revenue x the sector median margin. When mid-cycle EBITDA is not positive, the value is 70% of book value per share. Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.

Best for

Commodity producers, basic materials, chemicals, and oil & gas companies with multi-year earnings cycles.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA→285.75B
Fair EV/EBITDA→8.1x
Years of data→7
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→28.500
Calibrated value vs last close→+23.3%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
35.141
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Mid-cycle EBITDA285.7 tỷebitda source: own medianyears of data: 7
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,6682,3121,9362,1801,9501,8102,2332,2211,9671,6911,9821,5251,271
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·508337281374308313284297229163253122171
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·1151051191733243822111551
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1,2241,049726782785682954889777495768598452
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·233156605810272707352575230
Net Inventories
·698691694761752713924939891912841748598
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·704694695762753715925943894918847755604
Other current assets
·1241291169072586394681091055248
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000056
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7847857717928319281,0381,1491,1561,017754603606
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·14141516191710495751331414
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·14141516191710495751331414
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·589602581596632724802845860745529401396
Tangible fixed assets
·572588563577610699772814824707498375344
Intagible fixed assets
·17141819222530313538312632
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·84828284798088102110122114142146
Investments in associate companies
·5349484844455068739479105114
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·33333434333336343328353632
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−2−0.1−0.10000000000
Other non-current assets
·8081716474791041238697774650
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·8081716474791041238697774449
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,4523,0962,7072,9722,7812,7383,2703,3703,1232,7082,7362,1271,877
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·2,7982,5772,2602,5102,4182,3512,8672,9402,7262,3132,3011,7461,548
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·2,4882,3862,0832,3642,2172,1002,5942,5782,3321,9852,1641,6751,489
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·1,6501,6781,3961,5131,3171,2591,5841,6871,5411,1771,4001,079932
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·2580828112512281473275442514
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·3101911771462022512733623953281377159
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·7211411088150194240313346266855754
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·654519448462363387403430397394435307257
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·654519448462363387403430397394435307257
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·200200191191182182182182182182182182182
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·79737063584948464645472726
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·2401421141276482658763861008437
Minority Interest
·000000000007472
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·3,4523,0962,7072,9722,7812,7383,2703,3703,1232,7082,7362,1271,877
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·01076006000000
Convertible bonds (Bn. VND)
·180000000033000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·200200191191182182182182182182182182182
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·135104738159741081151068110600
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
75
Receivables
82
Margin Stability
17
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.29 · 51st pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.45
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.030
GMI
1.003
AQI
0.955
SGI
1.132
DEPI
1.023
SGAI
0.915
TATA
0.004
LVGI
0.919

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.4530th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.1%37th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.03
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.09
Positive
Composite
62
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.82×Interest Burden1.09×Op. Margin0.05×Turnover1.52×Leverage5.28=ROE34.0%
Price Risk
Momentum
−5.9%
Volatility
69.9%
Max Drawdown
−25.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
3.70P/E
P/B
1.10
P/S
0.11
ROE
32.9%
ROA
4.7%
EPS
7.694
BVPS
25.980
Gross Margin
18.7%
Net Margin
4.2%
D/E
2.63
Current Ratio
1.07
Rev Growth
+14.1%
Profit Growth
+46.8%
EV/EBITDA
4.62
Div Yield
7.0%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
20.0M
Charter Capital
200B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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