Back to Dashboard

LDW

Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Lâm Đồng

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
16.500
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+8.4%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
16.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
17.889

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend4.31%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→510
Payout ratio→50.0%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→16.500
Calibrated value vs last close→+8.4%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
17.889
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate4.31%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share510dps source: eventspayout ratio: 50
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item202620252024202320222021202020192018
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7590648640371630616603
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·4439393525171625
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·714555551279562538516
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1530464758334439
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·100.610.54513
Net Inventories
·88879181822
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·121111910191922
Other current assets
·000.020.0500.10.50.1
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,1041,1085285331,090880926967
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000.30.20.700.00
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000.30.20.700.00
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·425437446474781839890924
Tangible fixed assets
·424435445472779837889923
Intagible fixed assets
·12112211
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·6616536339276151111
Investments in associate companies
·00111111111111
Other non-current assets
·1315172025232325
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·89111318232325
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,1801,1981,1761,1731,4611,5101,5421,570
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·208229244272290322340370
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·6967596459676353
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·232323232323236
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.30.50.50.610.60.50.2
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·139162185208231254277317
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·139161184207230253276316
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·9719699329011,1711,1881,2021,199
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·971969932901876874865837
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·788788788788788788788788
Other Reserves
·3019191710.50.50.5
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·45226012722
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·7910079573439357
Budget sources and other funds
·0000295314337362
Budget sources and other funds
·0000295−5−5−3
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·1,1801,1981,1761,1731,4611,5101,5421,570
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·788788788788788788788788

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
64
Fair
Accrual Quality
87
Cash Conversion
41
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
25

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.70 · 28th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −2.92
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.517
GMI
1.055
AQI
1.027
SGI
1.000
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
0.960
TATA
0.033
LVGI
0.924

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.5632nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.8%33rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.22
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.02
Positive
Composite
23
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden0.99×Op. Margin0.32×Turnover0.27×Leverage1.21=ROE8.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
+77.1%
Volatility
92.2%
Max Drawdown
−44.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.69P/E
P/B
1.30
P/S
3.94
ROE
8.3%
ROA
6.8%
EPS
1.020
BVPS
12.325
Gross Margin
27.1%
Net Margin
25.1%
D/E
0.17
Current Ratio
1.09
Rev Growth
+0.0%
Profit Growth
−19.3%
EV/EBITDA
13.32
Div Yield
3.8%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
78.8M
Charter Capital
788B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →