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Công ty Cổ phần Nước và Môi trường Việt Nam

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
19.000
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
19.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
22.086

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • The closing price is too old for comparison.
  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.50%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→1.200
Payout ratio→185.6%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→19.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
22.086
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share1.200dps source: eventspayout ratio: 185.58
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·10169637563·54739062837978
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·211310612·1112258291916
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·56678·401316000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·7047435937·35504025342117
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.810.20.61·2231.0310.1
Net Inventories
·44435·4101311182939
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·44435·4101311182939
Other current assets
·0.40.10.70.40.9·0.310.322106
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000·0000073
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·4241404141·42382828192020
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·3434333434·23201110666
Tangible fixed assets
·3434313233·22191110666
Intagible fixed assets
·00.5120.2·0.50.70.040.090.20.080.1
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·66666·66718131313
Investments in associate companies
·44444·44516101010
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·22222·2222333
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−0.2−0.2−0.2−0.2−0.2·−0.2−0.2−0.2−0.2−0.200
Other non-current assets
·10.40.70.30.3·0.40000.40.81
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·10.40.70.30.3·0.40000.40.81
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·142110102116104·971111189010310098
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·9257516349·39535437656463
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·9157506248·39535437655555
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·00000·0000200
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·3218121923·15161715383337
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.60.70.70.60.6·0000098
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·5053515355·57586453383635
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·5053515355·57586453383635
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·3636363636·36363636212121
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·1212141515·1514861076
Other Reserves
··0000·000000.010.01
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·25225·772111767
Budget sources and other funds
·0.010.010.010.010.01·0.010.010.010.010.0100
Budget sources and other funds
··0.010.010.010.01·0.010.010.010.010.0100
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·142110102116104·971111189010310098
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·3636363636·36363636212121

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
75
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.42 · 43rd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.21
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.968
GMI
0.949
AQI
0.890
SGI
1.528
DEPI
0.958
SGAI
0.633
TATA
−0.060
LVGI
1.252

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.3860th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.6%27th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.51
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.15
Positive
Composite
23
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.78×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.03×Turnover0.76×Leverage2.83=ROE4.6%
Price Risk
Momentum
+43.2%
Volatility
108.6%
Max Drawdown
−38.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
29.38P/E
P/B
1.36
P/S
0.63
ROE
4.5%
ROA
1.8%
EPS
647
BVPS
13.997
Gross Margin
12.5%
Net Margin
2.2%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
1.10
EV/EBITDA
10.25
Div Yield
6.3%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
3.6M
Charter Capital
36.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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