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VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtSản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnHOSECT
33.950
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
−7.3%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
33.950
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
31.458

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • The closing price is too old for comparison.
  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
  • Under financial distress the model falls back to book value.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Very Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
2
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS→0
3
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→33.950
Calibrated value vs last close→−7.3%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
31.458
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate
Dividend per share0dps source: none in window
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·4534300839881795493225
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·0.310413581849282015
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·4423259803962302564197
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.9514611313168
Other current assets
·0.20.60.60.20.40.80.90.7913
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7528829501,2531,0018649229731,006795
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.030.050.053260.050.630.2150.2
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.030.050.053260.050.630.2150.2
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·667706744784823861916970416441
Tangible fixed assets
·667706744784823861916970416441
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·7917219913517300000
Investments in associate companies
·7917219913517300000
Other non-current assets
·6468533311
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·646852220.30.4
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7979161,2501,3361,0999451,0021,0281,0991,020
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·4186239291,015799675681717784720
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·19114419012997149977610735
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·15186114836911962514121
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.60.60.80000000
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·226479739885702526584641677685
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·132468555633702523584641677685
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·379292321321300271321310315300
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·379292321321300271321310315300
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·285285285285285285285285285285
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·0.030.030.030000000
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·882313110−1832212711
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·7979161,2501,3361,0999451,0021,0281,0991,020
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0040000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·285285285285285285285285285285
Good will (Bn. VND)
·0.050.20.30.40.50.60.700.91
MINORITY INTERESTS
·6555534443

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
40
Weak
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.32 · 49th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.40
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.623
GMI
0.942
AQI
0.554
SGI
1.171
DEPI
0.948
SGAI
1.016
TATA
−0.102
LVGI
0.606

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
4.5390th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.1%10th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.06
Grey Zone
Sharpe
1.58
Above 1
Composite
28
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden1.05×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.58×Turnover0.18×Leverage2.10=ROE22.9%
Price Risk
Momentum
+199.2%
Volatility
74.2%
Max Drawdown
−32.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.21P/E
P/B
2.59
P/S
6.77
ROE
26.1%
ROA
10.1%
EPS
3.029
BVPS
13.101
Gross Margin
59.0%
Net Margin
60.7%
D/E
0.74
Current Ratio
0.23
Rev Growth
+17.1%
Profit Growth
+555.7%
EV/EBITDA
10.80
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
28.5M
Charter Capital
285B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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