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PWA

Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản dầu khí

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnUPCOMCT
5.100
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+36.5%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
5.100
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
6.963

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • Net cash exceeds the market value of the company; the step from enterprise value to equity needs a check.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.110
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.97%
Ke
11.97%
x
E/(D+E)
97.33%
+
Kd(1-t)
9.71%
x
D/(D+E)
2.67%
=
WACC
11.91%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→5.100
Calibrated value vs last close→+36.5%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
6.963
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.91%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: default
Base cash flow10.6 tỷone off strip ratio: 0.56

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
9.9%6.9786.9786.9786.9786.978
10.9%6.9786.9786.9786.9786.978
11.9%6.9786.9786.9786.9786.978
12.9%6.9786.9786.9786.9786.978
13.9%6.9776.9786.9786.9786.978
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·148149135175188246444670135118857572
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·37282524338074307250760.4
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·27252219191710001000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·293729617681505533263686
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·22229235391033
Net Inventories
·5456576857673085832033436163
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·5456576857673085832033436163
Other current assets
·122431221080.060.42
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000001
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5154768193909228421191846456
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0018201711111187660
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0018201711111187000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·3840434544464700000.0441
Tangible fixed assets
·3436394140424300000.040.3
Intagible fixed assets
·4444444000000
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·33322234444914
Investment in joint ventures
·000000000000.60
Investments in associate companies
·0000000000000.6
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·44444448888814
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−1.0−1−1−2−2−2−1.0−4−4−4−400
Other non-current assets
·111113141516170.030.030.20.90.020.01
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·111113141516170.030.030.20.90.020.01
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·199203212256281335536698557308169139128
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·123130136176193210414588452204633824
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·10110811515517218941458841549312824
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·22433339920332873
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·014152121262353881623700.05
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·212121212121003615532100
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·000000000119000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·7773758088125122110105104106101103
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·7773758088125122110105104106101103
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·9999971111000
Other Reserves
·0.30.30.30.30.30.300000.90.90
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·−33−37−34−30−22182084350.032
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·199203212256281335536698557308169139128
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000000001520
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000000660
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
82
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.37 · 46th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.52
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.343
GMI
0.093
AQI
0.985
SGI
2.259
DEPI
0.949
SGAI
0.362
TATA
−0.010
LVGI
0.948

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
13.1297th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.0%35th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
0.33×
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.66
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.29
Positive
Composite
59
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden1.00×Interest Burden1.22×Op. Margin0.28×Turnover0.13×Leverage2.59=ROE11.2%
Price Risk
Momentum
+59.5%
Volatility
134.0%
Max Drawdown
−50.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.58P/E
P/B
0.62
P/S
1.91
ROE
11.5%
ROA
4.3%
EPS
860
BVPS
7.686
Gross Margin
59.4%
Net Margin
34.3%
D/E
0.03
Current Ratio
1.46
EV/EBITDA
—
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
10.0M
Charter Capital
100B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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