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D11

Công ty Cổ phần Địa ốc 11

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnHNXCT
11.600
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+34.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
11.600
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
15.641

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.110
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.97%
Ke
11.97%
x
E/(D+E)
96.87%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.38%
x
D/(D+E)
3.13%
=
WACC
11.77%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→11.600
Calibrated value vs last close→+34.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
15.641
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.77%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow23.9 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
9.8%15.87115.87115.87115.87115.871
10.8%15.87115.87115.87115.87115.871
11.8%15.83715.83715.83715.87115.871
12.8%15.64115.64115.64115.64115.837
13.8%15.64115.64115.64115.64115.641
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·257269253238254581565537345190141156166
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·681627132783198863451352115
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·0.013320716380038528893
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1791761661851411671521069053384155
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·302829293032674548180.31818
Net Inventories
·944403169288215345217781571
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·944403169288215345217781571
Other current assets
·0.60.610.30.560000001
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000001
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·999598107112717812662356
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000007001800
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000700100
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·34444552220.10.23
Tangible fixed assets
·34444552220.10.20.5
Investment in properties
·9592941021076367333441
Other non-current assets
·0000.90.8360.9110.50.51
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0000.90.8360.9110.50.51
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·355365351345366653643549351196163161172
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·15917516516219952453345526299858084
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·15315514513617842944733925779747983
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0661060671850270001
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·15343231292663291831551561115
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·6212025219586116520121.01.0
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0000073624940000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·196189186183166129109948997788287
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·196189186183166129109948997788287
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·82736666666666666666444444
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·7979797766441715151414149
Other Reserves
·117776420.80.080000
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·2429353429162513917202429
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·355365351345366653643549351196163161172
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·2222222000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·82736666666666666666444444

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.36 · 47th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −2.88
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.509
GMI
1.400
AQI
1.066
SGI
1.997
DEPI
0.914
SGAI
0.435
TATA
−0.136
LVGI
1.014

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
3.6288th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
8.8%78th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.64
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.40
Positive
Composite
64
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.85×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.05×Turnover0.60×Leverage1.81=ROE4.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
+22.3%
Volatility
37.7%
Max Drawdown
−16.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.13P/E
P/B
0.53
P/S
0.49
ROE
4.5%
ROA
2.4%
EPS
1.052
BVPS
23.856
Gross Margin
10.8%
Net Margin
4.1%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
1.68
Rev Growth
+99.7%
Profit Growth
+121.9%
EV/EBITDA
2.95
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
9.0M
Charter Capital
90.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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