CMT
Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ mạng và Truyền thông
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 8.900
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 10.764
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
Also note
- A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 29 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Technical details
Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.
DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.
Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- 2.1677th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 4.6%65th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.
The company shows an elevated Beneish M-Score of 0.7536 (95th percentile vs Vietnamese peers; year-over-year change +2.67), which signals more aggressive accounting relative to peers and a notable upward trajectory in the score. Other indicators are mixed: earnings-quality metrics are strong (overall 93.0/100 with accruals, cash conversion and receivables quality all 100/100), while margin quality is weaker (60.6/100); Altman Z-Score is 2.85 (the 'grey zone') and Piotroski F-Score is 6/9 (neutral).
- Beneish M-Score = 0.7536. The score is well above the US -1.78 cutoff but that cutoff is US-calibrated; here the company sits in the 95th percentile among Vietnamese peers (higher = more aggressive accounting) and the M-Score rose by +2.67 year-over-year, indicating a material change in the accounting signal.
- AQI (Asset Quality Index) = 10.0000. AQI measures increases in non-current assets and other items that can signal capitalisation or reclassification; an AQI this high is an outlier within the Beneish components and contributes strongly to the elevated M-Score.
- SGI (Sales Growth Index) = 1.3387. Sales grew materially (≈33.9% year-over-year as measured by SGI), which can put pressure on recognition policies and is one of the drivers of the overall M-Score movement.
- DEPI (Depreciation Index) = 0.6271 (below 1). DEPI < 1 indicates a lower rate of depreciation expense relative to prior period, which can reflect changes in depreciation policy or asset lives; it is a component that affects the M-Score.
- LVGI (Leverage Index) = 1.0758. Leverage increased about 7.6% year-over-year per this metric, which can interact with accounting choices and risk profile.
- Cash conversion (three-year operating cash flow / net profit) = 2.16 (77th percentile). A value above 1 indicates profits are not fully turning into operating cash (here profitability exceeds operating cash by a factor), which is a medium-level concern in the Vietnamese peer set.
- Earnings Quality Score = 93.0/100 with Accruals quality = 100.0/100, Cash conversion = 100.0/100 and Receivables quality = 100.0/100. These sub-scores indicate that, by the applied earnings-quality metrics, accruals, cash conversion and receivables exhibit high quality.
- Receivables outside the trade cycle = 4.6% of total assets (65th percentile). The amount of non-trade receivables, prepayments or loans receivable is modest relative to peers and not exceptionally large.
- Piotroski F-Score = 6/9. A 6 indicates generally neutral-to-favourable fundamental signals (profitability, leverage/liquidity, and operating efficiency tests).
- No accumulated losses; owner's equity (excluding minority interest) is positive and the parent has recorded 0 consecutive years of net loss up to FY2025. These are favorable statutory/statement-level facts about capital and profitability continuity.
Ownership is concentrated: three individuals hold a combined 59.5% (Lê Ngọc Tú 34.7%, Trần Thanh Hải 18.0%, Lê Thành Trung 6.8%), with a fourth large institutional holder (afc vietnam fund) at 4.5%. This concentrated, largely insider ownership means major decisions and related-party transactions are likely affected by a small group of controllers.
- Compare the 2025 change in non-current assets and the fixed-asset note to explain the AQI = 10.0000 (look for reclassifications, capitalisations or changes in useful lives).
- Reconcile the components of cash flow from operations in the FY2025 statement of cash flows with reported profit to examine the three-year cash conversion = 2.16 and the high cash-vs-profit divergence.
- Inspect the receivables and other receivables / prepayments notes to verify the composition of the 4.6% of total assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle.
- Check the depreciation policy note and property, plant and equipment schedules to see what changed in FY2025 that produced DEPI = 0.6271 (changes in depreciation rates, methods or asset revaluations).
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.24
- P/S
- 0.07
- ROE
- 6.4%
- ROA
- 3.3%
- EPS
- 2.320
- BVPS
- 37.398
- Gross Margin
- 10.1%
- Net Margin
- 1.7%
- D/E
- 0.38
- Current Ratio
- 1.96
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.38
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 7.3M
- Charter Capital
- 72.8B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Công nghệ Thông tin
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
- Sub-industry
- Phần mềm
- Company Type
- CT