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VietnamConsumerHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpTư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhUPCOMCT
16.700
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
16.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
19.501

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
  • The latest cash flow is zero or negative.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.49%
Ke
11.49%
x
E/(D+E)
71.41%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.22%
x
D/(D+E)
28.59%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend7.92%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→15.32B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→16.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
19.501
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate7.92%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow15.3 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth4.9%6.4%7.9%9.4%10.9%
8.0%20.84120.84121.17221.17221.172
9.0%20.50620.50620.50620.50620.841
10.0%19.50119.50119.50120.50620.506
11.0%19.50119.50119.50119.50119.501
12.0%18.72018.72019.50119.50119.501
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·17915714013114314813116212164
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·816121214281231542
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·8888888669
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·127978273877978915950
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·14151515282726212210
Net Inventories
·353536373333333432
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·353536373333333432
Other current assets
·11110.70.60.60.30.40.2
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·41465562727178767369
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.610.090000000
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.610.090000000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·37405056656268623832
Tangible fixed assets
·37405056656268622923
Intagible fixed assets
·000.040.090.200099
Other non-current assets
·3556789103311
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·3556789103311
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·219202195193215219208238194133
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·13512111411314014814318112972
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·13412111010512813112416412972
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·332833322527272985
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·17181515486157761910
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.90.5481217191600
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0.90.5481217191600
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·84818080757066576661
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·84818080757066576661
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·56565656565656565050
Other Reserves
··000000066
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·8763220.90.422
Other Reserves
·7543220.90.400
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·14131418141180.384
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·219202195193215219208238194133
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·56565656565656565050

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
30
Poor
Accrual Quality
64
Cash Conversion
5
Receivables
4
Margin Stability
50

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.03 · 65th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.29
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.282
GMI
0.894
AQI
0.634
SGI
1.021
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.240
TATA
0.091
LVGI
1.025

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.6734th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
6.6%73rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.17
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.01
Positive
Composite
83
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.86×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.11×Turnover1.01×Leverage2.60=ROE25.1%
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.3%
Volatility
26.6%
Max Drawdown
−10.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.49P/E
P/B
1.13
P/S
0.43
ROE
25.6%
ROA
10.1%
EPS
3.785
BVPS
15.059
Gross Margin
25.0%
Net Margin
9.6%
D/E
0.40
Current Ratio
1.33
EV/EBITDA
3.28
Div Yield
11.1%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
5.6M
Charter Capital
56.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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