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VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
29.700
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+12.1%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
29.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
33.287

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • The date of the last close could not be confirmed.
  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend8.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→1.107
Payout ratio→42.8%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→29.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+12.1%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
33.287
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate8.00%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share1.107dps source: eventspayout ratio: 42.81
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item202620252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·124142164117646026231213723
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·14388233740218144
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·6065127720000000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·30241911171212819128
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·1611414450.2230.3
Net Inventories
·191511119886121710
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·191511119886121710
Other current assets
·10715,173020.447852
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·151166109113134174216257286138105
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·1239783911221591952302519985
Tangible fixed assets
·1239783911221591952302519682
Intagible fixed assets
·00000000043
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1267251212121212121213
Investments in associate companies
·1212121212121212121213
Other non-current assets
·120.20.10.20.2381318137
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·120.20.10.20.2381318137
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·276307273230199235242279407174129
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·37343441459311114224811368
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·36343340458789961464529
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·0000647303023186
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.020.020.20.50.50.50.60.060.0700
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1.00.90.90.80.8722461026839
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·00000621461026739
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·2392732401891531411311371596260
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·2392732401891531411311371596260
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·1591591591591591591591591596260
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·3724000000000
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·43908130−5−17−28−21000
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·276307273230199235242279407174129
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·1591591591591591591591591596260

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
39
Weak
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
48
Receivables
11
Margin Stability
10
Revenue Quality
37

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.29 · 51st pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.84
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.245
GMI
1.162
AQI
0.462
SGI
1.005
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
0.898
TATA
0.031
LVGI
1.203

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.9242nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
5.9%71st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
8.66
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.66
Negative
Composite
48
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.69×Interest Burden0.71×Op. Margin0.20×Turnover0.80×Leverage1.16=ROE9.0%
Price Risk
Momentum
−37.4%
Volatility
0.1%
Max Drawdown
−46.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
22.00P/E
P/B
1.97
P/S
2.13
ROE
8.4%
ROA
7.3%
EPS
1.350
BVPS
15.038
Gross Margin
40.9%
Net Margin
9.7%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
3.44
Rev Growth
+0.5%
Profit Growth
−47.8%
EV/EBITDA
6.38
Div Yield
3.7%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
15.9M
Charter Capital
159B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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