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VietnamConsumerHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpTư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhUPCOMCT
7.700
VND · Close 30 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+22.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
7.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
9.455

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
  • Historical growth has declined.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.49%
Ke
11.49%
x
E/(D+E)
84.75%
+
Kd(1-t)
2.79%
x
D/(D+E)
15.25%
=
WACC
10.16%
2
Growth Estimate
historical blend5.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→55.31B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→7.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+22.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
9.455
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.16%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: historical blend
Base cash flow55.3 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
8.2%10.49810.49810.49810.49810.498
9.2%9.7629.7629.7629.76210.498
10.2%9.6099.6099.6099.7629.762
11.2%9.4559.4559.4559.4559.609
12.2%9.4559.4559.4559.4559.455
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item202620252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·209273257246249314293277267272228
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·6149535138935467487378
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·52576354769911415900
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·61108132131108107114187203190136
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·123212011225
Net Inventories
·325610926121076811
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·335710926121076811
Other current assets
·330.60.60.6410.40.712
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·327345369400440278208213208222154
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000000.20.30.10
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000000.20.30.10
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·199228251280316777810110211182
Tangible fixed assets
·199228251280315777810110211182
Intagible fixed assets
·0.090.10.20.20.20.20.30.3000
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·208888888887
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·208888888888
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0000000000−0.4
Other non-current assets
·51525354596118161219
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·494951535860170.961119
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·536618626645689592501490475494382
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·18925626728733323714814413314966
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·17721820219823123014814413314966
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·27272727261600000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·381156630.30.20.7
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·12386590102700000
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·12386590102700000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·347362359358356355352345341345316
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·347362359358356355352345341345316
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·300300300300300300300300300300300
Other Reserves
·00000000303
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·282522191613107405
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·193637394043393534428
Budget sources and other funds
·00000000000.01
Budget sources and other funds
·00000000000.01
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·536618626645689592501490475494382
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·300300300300300300300300300300300
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·00000003030

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
75
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
34
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.93 · 17th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.10
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.530
GMI
1.456
AQI
1.265
SGI
1.069
DEPI
0.907
SGAI
1.088
TATA
−0.097
LVGI
0.849

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
2.3779th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.3%17th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.96
Grey Zone
Sharpe
−0.77
Negative
Composite
55
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.85×Interest Burden1.07×Op. Margin0.04×Turnover0.79×Leverage1.54=ROE4.1%
Price Risk
Momentum
−23.3%
Volatility
59.3%
Max Drawdown
−34.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
16.05P/E
P/B
0.67
P/S
0.54
ROE
4.1%
ROA
2.5%
EPS
480
BVPS
11.577
Gross Margin
10.9%
Net Margin
3.4%
D/E
0.11
Current Ratio
1.18
Rev Growth
+6.9%
Profit Growth
−52.9%
EV/EBITDA
3.61
Div Yield
10.4%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
30.0M
Charter Capital
300B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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