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Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải và Dịch vụ Petrolimex Nghệ Tĩnh

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtHNXCT
22.200
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
22.200
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
25.806

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend8.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→1.500
Payout ratio→51.2%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→22.200
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
25.806
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate8.00%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share1.500dps source: eventspayout ratio: 51.16
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·714681674648716653493638
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·1512392332351342
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·311416211526384137241721
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·20.90.8630.10.30.20.1349
Net Inventories
·151718182315231111171011
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·151718182315231111171011
Other current assets
·1048645884555
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·21114813713314717318318213512411390
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·20113812912113415615516312211610782
Tangible fixed assets
·19913612711913215415316112111510680
Intagible fixed assets
·122222220.50.812
Other non-current assets
·9987813131111757
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·9987813131111757
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·282194218200192221254247189173149128
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1789212411711214517719213913711596
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·14189121114110143159165109896267
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·70407619682811413085775159
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·4559784210.90.90.4
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·3733222182730485329
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·3733222182730485329
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·10310294838076775549363432
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·10310294838076775549363432
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·646464585858583935232323
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·20181714121211109866
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·1920131095766543
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·282194218200192221254247189173149128
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·646464585858583935232323
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
58
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
22
Revenue Quality
70

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −1.99 · 66th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.24
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
2.407
GMI
0.906
AQI
0.705
SGI
0.920
DEPI
0.992
SGAI
1.071
TATA
−0.095
LVGI
1.338

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.3158th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.5%25th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.83
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.06
Positive
Composite
46
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.83×Interest Burden1.04×Op. Margin0.01×Turnover6.22×Leverage2.73=ROE18.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
−0.3%
Volatility
84.5%
Max Drawdown
−46.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.57P/E
P/B
1.38
P/S
0.08
ROE
18.3%
ROA
7.9%
EPS
2.932
BVPS
16.043
Gross Margin
9.4%
Net Margin
1.1%
D/E
1.03
Current Ratio
0.50
Rev Growth
−8.0%
Profit Growth
−3.8%
EV/EBITDA
4.02
Div Yield
10.8%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
6.4M
Charter Capital
64.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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