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PQN

Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Dầu khí Quảng Ngãi PTSC

VietnamConstructionHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpVận tảiUPCOMCT
4.000
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+26.5%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
4.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
5.059

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • The date of the last close could not be confirmed.
  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp→Construction
Classified as construction because ICB sector “Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp” maps to the construction group.
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Construction and industrial firms have lumpy, project-based earnings that swing with the building cycle. Order books fill and empty, so a single year's profit is a poor guide to normal earning power. This model values them on through-cycle EBITDA: a 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) times a fair EV/EBITDA multiple, less net debt. It mirrors the cyclical model.

Technical details
Why this model

Project-based revenue is lumpy and asset-backed. EV/EBITDA is capital-structure-neutral and undistorted by depreciation policy, and mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across the building cycle so a firm isn't overvalued at a peak or undervalued at a trough.

How it works

Computes 7-year median EBITDA and a fair EV/EBITDA from the firm's own history blended toward the construction-sector median. Net debt is taken directly from the balance sheet (short- plus long-term borrowings minus cash and short-term investments, which hold most term deposits). Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.

Best for

Construction & materials and industrial goods & services companies with lumpy, project-based revenue and asset-backed balance sheets.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA→77.57B
Fair EV/EBITDA→4.0x
Years of data→7
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→4.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+26.5%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
5.059
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Mid-cycle EBITDA77.6 tỷebitda source: own medianyears of data: 7
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·959711674597506515330333295
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·139150178434493101146152
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·766660000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·410378268300238284195149117
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·372230172216131012
Net Inventories
·368166217243213134303721
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·368166217243213134303721
Other current assets
·35116553425
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·328293287312346401435440466
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·141414141414141212
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·141414141414141212
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·134158167193232277293332369
Tangible fixed assets
·129157165191231277293332369
Leased assets
·0000000.200
Intagible fixed assets
·612210.100.30.3
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·500000000
Other non-current assets
·413323182132191612
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·413323182032191612
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,2871,004961909853916765773761
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1,079828814784748832701724728
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·680446455425389473342365369
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·640000000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·15459969075103805753
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·399383359359359359359359359
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·41240000000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·20817614712510485644933
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·20817614712510485644933
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·300300300300300300300300300
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·555555555
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·−97−129−157−179−200−220−241−256−272
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·1,2871,004961909853916765773761
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·300300300300300300300300300

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
67
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
45
Margin Stability
57
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.55 · 36th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.68
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.113
GMI
0.937
AQI
1.120
SGI
0.975
DEPI
0.854
SGAI
1.143
TATA
−0.012
LVGI
1.197

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
2.3980th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
3.9%61st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
0.32×
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.53
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
89
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden1.09×Op. Margin0.02×Turnover1.21×Leverage6.19=ROE15.5%
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
0.0%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
3.72P/E
P/B
0.58
P/S
0.08
ROE
16.8%
ROA
2.8%
EPS
1.076
BVPS
6.933
Gross Margin
5.7%
Net Margin
2.1%
D/E
0.22
Current Ratio
1.41
Rev Growth
−2.5%
Profit Growth
+18.1%
EV/EBITDA
0.25
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
30.0M
Charter Capital
300B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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