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Tổng Công ty Điện lực Dầu khí Việt Nam - CTCP

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtSản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnHOSECT
12.000
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+8.4%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
12.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.010

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Under financial distress the model falls back to book value.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Very Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
2
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS→0
3
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→12.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+8.4%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.010
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate
Dividend per share0dps source: none in window
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·37,00829,98129,04224,92518,42016,89716,07515,25113,77818,51916,01615,039
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·6,73811,5648,4408,2528,2247,0705,0833,1852,2664,6716,0735,518
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·12,5314,1122,3911,6505317896581761,0396015055
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·14,57811,87314,56012,5385,7997,1968,7147,5316,74410,2305,8485,560
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·3862971,2742,07418297120115119257237198
Net Inventories
·2,1741,7952,1672,0861,8381,7281,4284,1873,5333,3473,7013,635
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·2,1741,7952,1672,0861,8381,7361,4344,1873,5333,3473,7013,635
Other current assets
·9876361,4844002,028115192172196211244270
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·51,60449,93441,32031,91834,55737,15339,62142,86046,80551,21455,26734,141
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.90.40.40.40.33342392043704,535
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.90.40.40.40.3224039394141
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·45,78924,32126,40229,15531,86934,61437,32040,17743,99148,06851,11525,646
Tangible fixed assets
·45,73724,27026,36229,12331,83534,54837,24940,11343,92648,00051,05425,582
Intagible fixed assets
·525139323467706466686065
Investment in properties
·00000000.030.20.3415
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·8487669608788281,028983937957931781855
Investments in associate companies
·16988585503450459417368349323278337
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·702702399399414605605605643643538562
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−23−24−25−25−35−36−39−36−35−35−35−44
Other non-current assets
·4,0585,0884,9269491,4541,2561,0981,3271,5271,7282,4322,776
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·3,3064,4054,2242626505654676728358041,8712,232
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·88,61279,91570,36256,84352,97754,05055,69658,11160,58369,73271,28349,180
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·51,39645,23436,24323,56221,85222,78426,18631,29632,85942,93544,95631,625
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·31,61233,45726,78518,32616,81116,48017,06417,57113,86818,07817,04311,417
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·11,25013,5085,5075,6354,7697,0199,1586,5546,0995,8886,6513,726
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·20890.946222116744174
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·19,78411,7779,4585,2365,0406,3049,12313,72518,99124,85827,91320,209
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·17,6379,1517,1723,3823,6895,3918,39413,30418,77924,66927,07419,675
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·37,21634,68134,11933,28131,12531,26729,50926,81527,72426,79726,32717,554
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·37,21634,68134,11933,28131,12531,26729,50926,81527,72426,79726,32717,554
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·27,86823,41923,41923,41923,41923,41923,41923,41921,77421,77421,77413,107
Other Reserves
·226226226226226226228228228228162160
Difference upon Assets Revaluation
·−191−191−191−191−191−191−191−1910000
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·1,3104,4264,0393,6432,1757827811921,6181,038345291
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·5,0024,1303,9233,4203,0104,3022,6518591,2821,0151,3481,619
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·88,61279,91570,36256,84352,97754,05055,69658,11160,58369,73271,28349,180
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000000004,000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·27,86823,41923,41923,41923,41923,41923,41923,41921,77421,77421,77413,107
Good will (Bn. VND)
·0000029162303745
MINORITY INTERESTS
·3,0012,6712,7052,7652,4882,7292,6232,3092,8222,7412,6972,377

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
47
Weak
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
56
Receivables
56
Margin Stability
6
Revenue Quality
21

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.79 · 24th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.43
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.085
GMI
0.505
AQI
0.205
SGI
1.132
DEPI
1.767
SGAI
1.255
TATA
0.010
LVGI
1.042

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.7871st pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.4%22nd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.07
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.26
Positive
Composite
46
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.93×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.09×Turnover0.39×Leverage2.38=ROE8.1%
Price Risk
Momentum
+14.1%
Volatility
22.7%
Max Drawdown
−26.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
15.42P/E
P/B
1.09
P/S
1.09
ROE
7.3%
ROA
2.9%
EPS
791
BVPS
11.153
Gross Margin
13.1%
Net Margin
8.8%
D/E
0.78
Current Ratio
1.17
Rev Growth
+12.7%
Profit Growth
+110.6%
EV/EBITDA
8.22
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
3,068M
Charter Capital
30,678B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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