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VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtSản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnHNXCT
14.200
VND · Close 29 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
14.200
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
16.499

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.50%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→800
Payout ratio→69.9%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→14.200
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
16.499
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share800dps source: eventspayout ratio: 69.91
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·88796893836451374362707351
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·1615224033141710142293927
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·2720152016155000000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·37372525242517172020372212
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·3130.30.20.70.10.20.56616113
Net Inventories
·0.60.40.10.40.50.4113151177
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.60.40.10.40.50.4113151177
Other current assets
·8668910108651355
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000000.03
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·356354380416452484510537528464345279282
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·000.800000000−0.020
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·000.8000000000.000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·289327364401438476497529206214225278282
Tangible fixed assets
·284322359396433471492524201214225236244
Intagible fixed assets
·5555555550.03000
Other non-current assets
·454544740.40.30.40.20.1
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·222222520.30.20.20.20.1
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·444433448509535549561574571526415352332
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·656488154166192207232225206986481
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·35243848263432584562372729
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·000061717171418151517
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0000000000002
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·304050106140158175173180144603752
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·304050106140158175173180144603752
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·379370359355369357353342346320317288252
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·379370359355369357353342346320317288252
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·333333333333333333333303303291291271243
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·000000000000−0.5
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·01111111110.10.10.1
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·463525203422193742282609
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·444433448509535549561574571526415352332
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·333333333333333333333303303291291271243
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
80
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.25 · 53rd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.39
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.739
GMI
0.923
AQI
2.395
SGI
1.332
DEPI
0.863
SGAI
1.162
TATA
−0.066
LVGI
0.995

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.8472nd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.7%29th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
6.46
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.37
Negative
Composite
43
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.82×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.32×Turnover0.35×Leverage1.17=ROE10.8%
Price Risk
Momentum
−11.5%
Volatility
43.2%
Max Drawdown
−27.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.60P/E
P/B
1.25
P/S
3.05
ROE
10.9%
ROA
9.3%
EPS
1.225
BVPS
11.370
Gross Margin
48.0%
Net Margin
26.3%
D/E
0.08
Current Ratio
2.53
Rev Growth
+33.2%
Profit Growth
+25.3%
EV/EBITDA
5.12
Div Yield
5.6%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
33.3M
Charter Capital
333B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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