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VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnUPCOMCT
31.500
VND · Close 30 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+34.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
31.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
42.474

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.110
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.97%
Ke
11.97%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
11.97%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→31.500
Calibrated value vs last close→+34.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
42.474
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.97%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: default
Base cash flow68.6 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
10.0%43.09943.09943.09943.09943.099
11.0%43.09943.09943.09943.09943.099
12.0%42.71043.00643.00643.00643.099
13.0%42.47442.47442.47442.47442.474
14.0%42.47442.47442.47442.47442.474
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·12466272014244252104487058
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·2422125155149196
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·1185421000000011
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·4735823293380354736
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.50.80.0921.00.040.040.0515410.6
Net Inventories
·0.20.20.10.20.10.12230.0644
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.20.20.10.20.10.12230.244
Other current assets
·0.40.80.220.20.2613740.81
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000000.61
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·189202218228231244259268159964144
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000111000
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000111000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·101214155260687514162528
Tangible fixed assets
·101214155260687514162022
Investment in properties
·17318519720917618118518613141415
Other non-current assets
·557323570.40.622
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·557323570.40.622
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·314268245248244268301321263144111103
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·49476496118148195230178694738
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·312828192035495179394235
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·000.70.9512232548203625
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.010.20.010.30.20.020.50.50.40.30.42
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1719367899113145180993054
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00176186100132170982900
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·2652211811511261201069085756464
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·2652211811511261201069085756464
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·10110153535353535344373737
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·313131313131312029291414
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·134909767423622171291212
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·314268245248244268301321263144111103
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·10110153535353535344373737

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
97
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
85

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −3.08 · 12th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −1.53
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.703
GMI
0.985
AQI
0.806
SGI
0.971
DEPI
0.929
SGAI
1.107
TATA
−0.042
LVGI
0.960

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.3157th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.2%12th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
6.36
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Positive
Composite
58
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden1.03×Op. Margin0.56×Turnover0.42×Leverage1.18=ROE22.5%
Price Risk
Momentum
+7.2%
Volatility
122.6%
Max Drawdown
−29.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.31P/E
P/B
1.19
P/S
2.43
ROE
24.5%
ROA
20.5%
EPS
5.930
BVPS
26.365
Gross Margin
60.2%
Net Margin
45.7%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
3.97
EV/EBITDA
2.42
Div Yield
4.8%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
10.1M
Charter Capital
101B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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