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KHW

Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Khánh Hòa

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
26.000
VND · Close 27 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+12.1%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
26.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
29.140

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend10.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→990
Payout ratio→40.6%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→26.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+12.1%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
29.140
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate10.00%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share990dps source: eventspayout ratio: 40.58
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·199176168135149170171155137138154150
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·47671422243425395617
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·12110087565664482721212062
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·504648404538524748322930
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·20.410.4320.611.00.50.72
Net Inventories
·242426313344434640443936
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·242426313344434640443936
Other current assets
·000.211130.433105
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.2
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·432438375375368369415417418405385319
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000000.3000
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000000.3000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·392407339343307324390360381372357291
Tangible fixed assets
·379394325328294310374342362351340262
Intagible fixed assets
·131314151314161819211819
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·2424242424242223241041
Investments in associate companies
·2424242424242424241041
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·000000020000
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·00000−0.3−2−2−0.09−0.09−0.090
Other non-current assets
·115440.80.60000327
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·115440.80.60000327
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·631614542510517538586572555543539470
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·206217190182196212267266253247248185
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1019699959395117114104917783
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·383128282827303130221311
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·322321717133424
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1051219087103117150152148156171102
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·941067371879612212613814716191
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·425397353328321326319306302297291284
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·425397353328321326319306302297291284
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·286286286286260260260260260260260260
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·4923432823141185223
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·89876139334245353431280
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·631614542510517538586572555543539470
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·286286286286260260260206260260260260
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
80
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
74
Margin Stability
65
Revenue Quality
59

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.71 · 27th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.42
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.044
GMI
1.026
AQI
1.235
SGI
1.047
DEPI
0.882
SGAI
1.077
TATA
−0.089
LVGI
0.945

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.7671st pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.3%19th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.59
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.10
Negative
Composite
46
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.90×Interest Burden1.01×Op. Margin0.21×Turnover0.72×Leverage1.49=ROE20.9%
Price Risk
Momentum
−1.0%
Volatility
35.2%
Max Drawdown
−15.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.46P/E
P/B
2.19
P/S
2.04
ROE
21.6%
ROA
14.3%
EPS
3.106
BVPS
14.845
Gross Margin
24.3%
Net Margin
19.5%
D/E
0.31
Current Ratio
1.96
Rev Growth
+4.7%
Profit Growth
+1.8%
EV/EBITDA
5.00
Div Yield
5.2%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
35.7M
Charter Capital
357B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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