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DRH

Công ty Cổ phần DRH Holdings

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnHOSECT
1.070
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+55.5%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
1.070
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
1.664

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • The model uses profit in place of cash flow, which was not available.

Also note

  • The model’s gap was capped before calibration.
  • Trading liquidity is low.
  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.114
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.99%
Ke
11.99%
x
E/(D+E)
64.19%
+
Kd(1-t)
7.30%
x
D/(D+E)
35.81%
=
WACC
10.31%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→1.070
Calibrated value vs last close→+55.5%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
1.664
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)12.31%high risk: yes
Growth rate3.50%growth method: default
Base cash flow63.4 tỷone off strip ratio: 28.87

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
10.3%1.4641.4641.4641.4641.484
11.3%1.4611.4641.4641.4641.464
12.3%1.4431.4431.4431.4431.461
13.3%1.4141.4431.4431.4431.443
14.3%1.3061.3071.3141.3941.443
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,1662,8042,8052,4891,7481,6931,5971,614734197427756
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·960.09104160495337383483103
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·00000.40.40.420.670.10.10.1
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1,6521,5121,5181,24476778773465363177395241
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·16613713113548795157130.40.20.2
Net Inventories
·1,3901,2671,1601,0579058448158976250000
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·1,3901,2671,1601,0579058448158976250000
Other current assets
·28252328271010241140.061512
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000001511
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,1211,0971,1551,359976808746578349636285223236
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·2252222223119212700
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·22222223119212700
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·0.20.30.40.70.50.9221219089
Tangible fixed assets
·0.20.30.40.60.20.20.30.40.60.9121
Intagible fixed assets
·0000.100.30.8120.60.8000
Investment in properties
·858789919300004888
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·83881186484769363856449032329288126139
Investments in associate companies
·83881186484769363856449030728810193109
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000256145555
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·00000000−9−0.8−26−23−26
Goodwill
·00000000030000
Other non-current assets
·1971971981981886976792050.700.00
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·1851851861871876876762050.700
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·4,2883,9013,9613,8482,7252,5012,3422,1921,083833327300292
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·2,9642,5942,4512,2321,8661,6501,5321,41939421110798114
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·2,9572,5802,4432,2291,8621,5331,5161,38435021110797114
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·738751774695443296160401106173437468
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·666535530530447408355115794222
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·7147441171635440.070.060.10.1
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·000001151435390000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·1,3231,3071,5101,615859851810773688622220203178
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·1,3231,3071,5101,615859851810773688622220203178
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·1,2441,2441,2441,244610610610610490490184184184
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·202020202014927110.010.01
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·−65−8112222823022819115513882172−25
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·4,2883,9013,9613,8482,7252,5012,3422,1921,083833327300292
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·2622622540.5000000000
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.20.43220000000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·1,2441,2441,2441,244610610610610490490184184184
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·12111111666640.04000
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.10 · 62nd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.68
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.660
GMI
1.320
AQI
0.930
SGI
1.657
DEPI
0.951
SGAI
0.466
TATA
−0.022
LVGI
1.043

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
10.0%81st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
0.05×
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.13
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−1.66
Negative
Composite
69
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.43×Interest Burden0.94×Op. Margin6.98×Turnover0.00×Leverage3.24=ROE1.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
−30.3%
Volatility
52.2%
Max Drawdown
−67.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.46P/E
P/B
0.10
P/S
22.37
ROE
1.2%
ROA
0.4%
EPS
126
BVPS
10.603
Gross Margin
−139.0%
Net Margin
283.3%
D/E
0.56
Current Ratio
1.07
Rev Growth
+65.7%
Profit Growth
+107.7%
EV/EBITDA
—
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
124M
Charter Capital
1,237B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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