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DNH

Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Đa Nhim - Hàm Thuận - Đa Mi

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtSản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnUPCOMCT
53.000
VND · Close 29 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+8.4%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
53.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
57.463

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend3.50%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→2.050
Payout ratio→94.6%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→53.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+8.4%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
57.463
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share2.050dps source: eventspayout ratio: 94.63
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item202620252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,8212,4582,0782,2322,1701,4941,9602,5961,8022,3732,335
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·6916055361,2097341447312134605882
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1,370930704008069076861,1362691,4271,517
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·7489081,4285855994074531,2031,037800698
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·765140.6442141319419
Net Inventories
·914373829358941368738
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·914373829358941368738
Other current assets
·20.460.522230.320.2
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·4,6035,0205,9416,3796,7886,8587,2716,4655,8725,5875,721
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·00600800800800800600964800716
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000000001.0
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·4,2914,6534,9335,3005,6455,4625,7643,8834,0714,3664,690
Tangible fixed assets
·4,2914,6534,9335,2995,6445,4615,7633,8824,0704,3654,689
Intagible fixed assets
·0.20.30.710.810.81.0111
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·2012512111742699928815170132107
Investments in associate companies
·163144144133123534340283517
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·3737373737373737373737
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0000000000−0.7
Other non-current assets
·10410496876962162645416
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·2730392859142444216
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7,4237,4788,0198,6118,9598,3529,2329,0617,6747,9608,056
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·2,2452,2122,7362,1182,4522,5523,0423,2192,0892,5762,860
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,0679351,3295485364147571,394271675846
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·1241151302131421705295480461442
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.40.60.20.62221120.3
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,1781,2771,4071,5711,9162,1382,2851,8251,8181,9002,013
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·1,1781,2771,4071,5711,9162,1382,2491,7251,7731,9002,013
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·5,1795,2655,2836,4936,5075,8006,1905,8425,5855,3855,196
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·5,1795,2655,2836,4936,5075,8006,1905,8425,5855,3855,196
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·4,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,224
Other Reserves
·004754634564494031290041
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·00000−29−8−48−1470
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·501501255764701166442030
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·3924845001,6921,7081,0351,4071,4811,2051,025865
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·7,4237,4788,0198,6118,9598,3529,2329,0617,6747,9608,056
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·002000000200000
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·00600800800800800600800800716
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·4,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,2244,224
MINORITY INTERESTS
·6257585755504951504036
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
75
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
73
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −3.00 · 15th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.38
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.750
GMI
0.992
AQI
0.856
SGI
1.098
DEPI
0.926
SGAI
0.852
TATA
−0.069
LVGI
1.022

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.1953rd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.1%9th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
9/9
Strong
Z-Score
6.97
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.02
Positive
Composite
16
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.81×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.50×Turnover0.31×Leverage1.43=ROE17.8%
Price Risk
Momentum
+3.0%
Volatility
131.4%
Max Drawdown
−49.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
24.47P/E
P/B
4.38
P/S
9.80
ROE
17.7%
ROA
12.3%
EPS
2.166
BVPS
12.114
Gross Margin
52.7%
Net Margin
40.4%
D/E
0.25
Current Ratio
2.64
Rev Growth
+9.8%
Profit Growth
+4.2%
EV/EBITDA
14.29
Div Yield
1.7%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
422M
Charter Capital
4,224B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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