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BVL

Công ty Cổ phần BV Land

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnUPCOMCT
10.800
VND · Close 30 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+34.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
10.800
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
14.563

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.110
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.97%
Ke
11.97%
x
E/(D+E)
78.70%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.24%
x
D/(D+E)
21.30%
=
WACC
10.32%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→10.800
Calibrated value vs last close→+34.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
14.563
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.32%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow259.2 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
8.3%14.77714.77714.77714.77715.261
9.3%14.77714.77714.77714.77714.777
10.3%14.74514.74514.77714.77714.777
11.3%14.56314.56314.56314.56314.745
12.3%14.56314.56314.56314.56314.563
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,6891,4841,1641,510420278275
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·2072030145383072
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·38446269460710
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·187723535620262125155
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·9214201925940
Net Inventories
·794650536593595046
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·794650536593595046
Other current assets
·118463658122
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·857304308315979887
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·27210.70.40.3
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·27210.70.40.3
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·426293130174
Tangible fixed assets
·426293130174
Investment in properties
·209230232238171718
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·63512110.60.611
Investments in associate companies
·62312110.90.911
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·12000000
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0−0.3−0.3−0.3−0.300
Other non-current assets
·3303444495660
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.70.60.62330.2
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,5461,7881,4711,825518376362
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·95749949990222110994
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·5633724315242059386
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·88100251201112538
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·20211081131022
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·3931276837816167
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·34210435346000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·1,5891,289973923296267268
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·1,5891,289973923296267268
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·894828573573231220220
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·2131312530.9
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·4141451831402578
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·2,5461,7881,4711,825518376362
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·18473266136385614
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·894828573573231220220
Good will (Bn. VND)
·2283340465360
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·279304204198353639

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
56
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
59
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.43 · 43rd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.02
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.141
GMI
0.326
AQI
2.154
SGI
1.829
DEPI
0.461
SGAI
1.072
TATA
0.038
LVGI
1.337

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.6167th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
4.4%64th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.10
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.53
Negative
Composite
63
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.81×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.31×Turnover0.58×Leverage1.60=ROE23.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
−26.6%
Volatility
109.2%
Max Drawdown
−54.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
3.51P/E
P/B
0.88
P/S
0.79
ROE
28.8%
ROA
15.2%
EPS
3.694
BVPS
14.646
Gross Margin
36.7%
Net Margin
25.1%
D/E
0.27
Current Ratio
3.00
Rev Growth
+82.9%
Profit Growth
+3872.5%
EV/EBITDA
3.20
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
107M
Charter Capital
1,073B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Tư Vấn, Định giá, Môi giới Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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