Back to Dashboard

BLI

Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Bảo Long

VietnamInsuranceBảo hiểmBảo hiểm phi nhân thọUPCOMBH
7.700
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+12.1%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
7.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
8.631

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

BH→Insurance
Classified as insurance because company type is BH (insurance company).
ModelPeer-Relative P/B
Intrinsic Value = Peer P/B x (Target ROE / Peer ROE) x BVPS

Insurance companies hold long-duration liabilities (future claims) whose true economic value isn't fully captured by accounting book value. This model benchmarks the insurer against peers: it takes the median P/B of comparable insurers and adjusts it based on how the target's profitability (ROE) compares to the peer group. A more profitable insurer deserves a premium; a less profitable one, a discount.

Technical details
Why this model

Insurers' embedded value (present value of future profits from in-force policies) is difficult to calculate from public data alone. Peer-relative P/B with an ROE adjustment serves as a practical proxy within the limits of the available data.

How it works

Takes the median P/B multiple of listed insurance peers and pulls it toward a 1.5x prior, more strongly when there are few peers (weight N/(N+4)). Adjusts by the ratio of the company's ROE to the peer median ROE (clamped to 0.7x-1.5x to prevent extremes). Multiplies adjusted P/B by current BVPS.

Best for

Life and non-life insurance companies where embedded value data is unavailable and peer benchmarking provides the most reliable reference.

1
Model Inputs
Avg ROE (3yr)→7.37%
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→7.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+12.1%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
8.631
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Profitability & book valuepeer source: dynamic
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,5912,4061,9692,3162,1031,9191,7501,4931,3321,149875668757
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·95138572643677422348468976616110781
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1,6141,474758804744698762463768701415266393
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·407411394426299361270235253205127142120
Net Inventories
·0.40.40.40.50.70.50.60.40.50.40.40.30.3
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.40.40.40.50.70.50.60.40.50.40.40.30.3
Other current assets
·5955508384904751464729279
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000008
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·183169360207187362246328330280385391152
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·12132413131713191610866
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·12132413131713191610866
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·1001099496949487832832363839
Tangible fixed assets
·16171819222121171821252727
Intagible fixed assets
·85927676727367661010111110
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·210182463420511321127222733033898
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000105
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−2−6
Other non-current assets
·424138363344251614111199
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·22222323212215674366
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,7742,5762,3292,5232,2912,2821,9961,8221,6621,4301,2601,059909
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1,8451,6751,4921,7751,5581,5751,3211,1551,016885823685537
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,8441,6721,4881,7711,5551,5721,3171,1521,013882821683533
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·2344443333324
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·929900837748732706675667646545437374372
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·929900837748732706675667646545437374372
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·600600600600600600600600600500404336336
Other Reserves
·181818141075310000
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·272245185105987953483132202625
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·2,7742,5762,3292,5232,2912,2821,9961,8221,6621,4301,2601,059909
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·600600600600600600600600600500404336336

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
5
Poor
Margin Stability
10
Revenue Quality
0

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Sharpe
−0.45
Negative
Composite
58
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.76×Interest Burden−1.96×Op. Margin−0.02×Turnover0.46×Leverage2.99=ROE3.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
−12.1%
Volatility
32.8%
Max Drawdown
−26.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
0.52P/B
P/E
15.19
ROE
3.5%
ROA
1.2%
EPS
527
BVPS
15.477
Net Margin
2.5%
Rev Growth
+3.7%
Profit Growth
−51.1%
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
60.0M
Charter Capital
600B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bảo hiểm
Industry (ICB L3)
Bảo hiểm phi nhân thọ
Sub-industry
Bảo hiểm phi nhân thọ
Company Type
BH
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →