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Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Sài Gòn - Hà Nội

VietnamInsuranceBảo hiểmBảo hiểm phi nhân thọUPCOMBH
6.400
VND · Close 27 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+8.3%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
6.400
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
6.930

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

BH→Insurance
Classified as insurance because company type is BH (insurance company).
ModelPeer-Relative P/B
Intrinsic Value = Peer P/B x (Target ROE / Peer ROE) x BVPS

Insurance companies hold long-duration liabilities (future claims) whose true economic value isn't fully captured by accounting book value. This model benchmarks the insurer against peers: it takes the median P/B of comparable insurers and adjusts it based on how the target's profitability (ROE) compares to the peer group. A more profitable insurer deserves a premium; a less profitable one, a discount.

Technical details
Why this model

Insurers' embedded value (present value of future profits from in-force policies) is difficult to calculate from public data alone. Peer-relative P/B with an ROE adjustment serves as a practical proxy within the limits of the available data.

How it works

Takes the median P/B multiple of listed insurance peers and pulls it toward a 1.5x prior, more strongly when there are few peers (weight N/(N+4)). Adjusts by the ratio of the company's ROE to the peer median ROE (clamped to 0.7x-1.5x to prevent extremes). Multiplies adjusted P/B by current BVPS.

Best for

Life and non-life insurance companies where embedded value data is unavailable and peer benchmarking provides the most reliable reference.

1
Model Inputs
Avg ROE (3yr)→1.01%
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→6.400
Calibrated value vs last close→+8.3%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
6.930
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Profitability & book valuepeer source: dynamic
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item202620252024202320222019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,7244,2503,0302,4121,9931,4741,116969891681511
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·160873586231732631026154200
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1,9562,3971,02172931424648317023468201
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·5986789611,1851,33679639226140422097
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·9223176613105181
Net Inventories
·0.50.410.70.80.60.50.70.40.40.4
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.50.410.70.80.600.70.40.40.4
Other current assets
·11416420410492411918211912
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000011
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·6497271,4561,25058262160937440415449
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·5546454137313454870
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·5546454137313454870
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·868714161820313336
Tangible fixed assets
·523414161719313335
Intagible fixed assets
·24500.070.20.30.5000
Investment in properties
·00009101011000
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·5555401,2141,1885075525342843611080
Investments in associate companies
·00000131126126000
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·3030564908440422408158158300
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−40−500000000
Other non-current assets
·321351891515111363714
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·3113418714129114233
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·4,3744,9774,4853,6622,5752,0951,7251,3431,296835560
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·3,1743,7553,2712,4531,5541,076708607577515243
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·3,1733,7543,2712,4531,5541,07570760757651543
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·182248280634210.80.85
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.20.10.40.20.50.60.60.02103
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·1,2001,2231,2141,2091,0211,0201,017736718321317
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·1,2001,2231,2141,2091,0211,0201,017736718321317
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·1,0001,0001,0001,0001,0001,0001,000700700300300
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·−52−16−17−9−2−2−10000
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·22222222221
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·22421120319185227111412
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·4,3744,9774,4853,6622,5752,0951,7251,3431,296835560
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·1,0001,0001,0001,0001,0001,0001,000700700300300
MINORITY INTERESTS
·54556780000
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
19
Poor
Margin Stability
37
Revenue Quality
0

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Sharpe
−0.54
Negative
Composite
26
Below 30
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.47×Interest Burden−0.25×Op. Margin−0.05×Turnover0.59×Leverage3.64=ROE1.1%
Price Risk
Momentum
−30.4%
Volatility
198.7%
Max Drawdown
−65.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
0.54P/B
P/E
50.19
ROE
1.1%
ROA
0.3%
EPS
128
BVPS
11.951
Net Margin
0.5%
Rev Growth
−7.0%
Profit Growth
−9.4%
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
100M
Charter Capital
1,000B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bảo hiểm
Industry (ICB L3)
Bảo hiểm phi nhân thọ
Sub-industry
Bảo hiểm phi nhân thọ
Company Type
BH
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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