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Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Nhãn Hiệu Việt

VietnamConsumerHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpTư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhHOSECT
10.500
VND · Close 30 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+1.4%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
10.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.645

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
  • The latest cash flow is zero or negative.

Also note

  • Historical growth has declined.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.49%
Ke
11.49%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
11.49%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→2.39B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→10.500
Calibrated value vs last close→+1.4%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.645
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)11.49%
Growth rate4.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow2.4 tỷone off strip ratio: 0.45

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth1.0%2.5%4.0%5.5%7.0%
9.5%10.64510.64510.64510.64510.645
10.5%10.64510.64510.64510.64510.645
11.5%10.64510.64510.64510.64510.645
12.5%10.64510.64510.64510.64510.645
13.5%10.64510.64510.64510.64510.645
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item202620252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·15319717419623719917123272419
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·334632149971031410.8
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·4711113011714579440000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·7339405642212319211915
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.040.050.090.070.10.0810.020.020.020.04
Net Inventories
·0000.40.420.33234
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0000.40.420.33234
Other current assets
·0.080.220.90.410.40.10.20.30.04
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000.020000.01
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·13215821017676838713121120
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.30.420.10.20.070.10000
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.30.420.10.20.070.10000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·0.000.040.07111580.430.060.070.6
Tangible fixed assets
·0.000.040.07111580.430.060.070.6
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·10312216411000.040.0488820
Investments in associate companies
·00000008888
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·8811610811000000012
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·0000000−0.01000
Other non-current assets
·293543515763722000.01
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·21222222000.01
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·28435538437231328225836393540
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·545968875746473529
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·474751825343443528
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00000002200
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·1.01.01120.50.30000
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·71217543200.000.000.3
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·00000000000.3
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·23129631628525623621233343331
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·23129631628525623621233343331
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·20020020020020020020030303030
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·3196116855636123431
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·28435538437231328225836393540
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·41000000100.20
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·20020020020020020020030303030
Good will (Bn. VND)
·273340475461680000
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·000000000.20.20

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
21
Poor
Accrual Quality
48
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
39
Revenue Quality
19

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
75th–90th
M −1.19 · 85th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.70
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.798
GMI
0.925
AQI
1.041
SGI
1.030
DEPI
0.995
SGAI
1.325
TATA
0.146
LVGI
1.240

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
−0.1620th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
14.6%87th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

The accounting signals are mixed. The Beneish M-Score is -1.1914 (85th percentile versus Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +0.70, driven by a high DSRI (1.7979) and SGAI (1.3247), while TATA is low at 0.1465. Earnings-quality metrics are weak in cash conversion and receivables (both scored 0/100) and the overall Earnings Quality Score is 20.6/100, but the Altman Z-Score is 3.74 (in the safe zone) and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9 (neutral).

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score -1.1914 (85th percentile among Vietnamese peers; a higher percentile indicates more aggressive accounting relative to peers). The YoY change +0.70 indicates the M-Score has moved materially year-over-year.
  • DSRI (Days Sales Receivable Index) = 1.7979 (Beneish component) — measures a rise in receivables relative to sales and can indicate revenue recognition or collection changes.
  • SGAI (Sales General & Administrative Index) = 1.3247 — measures growth in SG&A relative to sales and may signal unusual selling or reporting behaviour.
  • Receivables outside the trade cycle = 14.6% of total assets (87th percentile) — a high share of prepayments, loans receivable or other long-term receivables versus peers.
  • Three-year cash conversion (operating cash flow / net profit) = -0.16 (20th percentile) — profits are not converting into cash on a multi-year basis.
  • Earnings Quality Score 20.6/100 with Revenue quality 18.8/100 and Cash conversion & Receivables quality both 0/100 — poor scores on components that reflect the sustainability and cash backing of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • TATA (Total Accruals to Total Assets) = 0.1465 — this component measures total accruals; a relatively low TATA suggests lower accrual intensity in the balance sheet relative to earnings.
  • DEPI (Depreciation Index) = 0.9955 and GMI (Gross Margin Index) = 0.9248 — DEPI close to 1.0 indicates stable depreciation policies; GMI below 1 suggests gross margins have improved rather than deteriorated year-over-year.
  • LVGI (Leverage Index) = 1.2397 and SGI (Sales Growth Index) = 1.0303 are moderate — leverage and sales growth measures are not extreme.
  • Altman Z-Score = 3.74 (safe zone) — this Altman metric indicates distance from financial distress under its model.
  • Piotroski F-Score = 5/9 — a neutral score indicating neither strong deterioration nor particularly strong improvement in fundamental operating signals.
Ownership Risk

Ownership is highly concentrated in three related institutional shareholders (Công ty TNHH Phát Triển Quang Thái 39.7%, Phát Triển Đổng Đức 24.8%, Phát Triển Đồng Thịnh 14.3%), together controlling nearly 79% of the company; two individuals hold smaller stakes (Lan Wan - Chen 4.9%, Tsai Hsiu-Li 4.4%). No director-deal registrations were provided in the data; registrations with the exchange are intentions, not executed trades.

To check in the filings
  • Compare the year‑over‑year change in trade receivables and other receivables in the FY2025 balance sheet and the receivables note to identify the composition of the 14.6% 'receivables outside the trade cycle' (prepayments, loans and long-term receivables).
  • Reconcile operating cash flow (cash flow statement) to net profit in the FY2023–FY2025 notes to verify the three‑year cash conversion ratio of -0.16 and identify timing items or non‑cash adjustments.
  • Review the revenue recognition policy and any related-party transaction disclosures (notes and schedules) to assess drivers of DSRI = 1.7979 and Revenue quality = 18.8/100.
  • Inspect the SG&A note and segment or line‑item detail to explain SGAI = 1.3247 (the rise in SG&A relative to sales) and whether increases relate to non-recurring items, marketing expansions, or related-party costs.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.74
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.59
Negative
Composite
34
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.74×Interest Burden0.99×Op. Margin0.79×Turnover0.09×Leverage1.23=ROE6.5%
Price Risk
Momentum
−7.2%
Volatility
51.4%
Max Drawdown
−34.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.09P/E
P/B
0.91
P/S
8.19
ROE
5.7%
ROA
4.7%
EPS
745
BVPS
11.539
Gross Margin
93.2%
Net Margin
58.1%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
3.28
Rev Growth
+3.0%
Profit Growth
−21.4%
EV/EBITDA
7.99
Div Yield
38.1%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
20.0M
Charter Capital
200B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ KD
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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