ABR
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Nhãn Hiệu Việt
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 10.500
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 10.645
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
- The latest cash flow is zero or negative.
Also note
- Historical growth has declined.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 29 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.
Technical details
Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).
Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.
Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- −0.1620th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 14.6%87th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.
The accounting signals are mixed. The Beneish M-Score is -1.1914 (85th percentile versus Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +0.70, driven by a high DSRI (1.7979) and SGAI (1.3247), while TATA is low at 0.1465. Earnings-quality metrics are weak in cash conversion and receivables (both scored 0/100) and the overall Earnings Quality Score is 20.6/100, but the Altman Z-Score is 3.74 (in the safe zone) and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9 (neutral).
- Beneish M-Score -1.1914 (85th percentile among Vietnamese peers; a higher percentile indicates more aggressive accounting relative to peers). The YoY change +0.70 indicates the M-Score has moved materially year-over-year.
- DSRI (Days Sales Receivable Index) = 1.7979 (Beneish component) — measures a rise in receivables relative to sales and can indicate revenue recognition or collection changes.
- SGAI (Sales General & Administrative Index) = 1.3247 — measures growth in SG&A relative to sales and may signal unusual selling or reporting behaviour.
- Receivables outside the trade cycle = 14.6% of total assets (87th percentile) — a high share of prepayments, loans receivable or other long-term receivables versus peers.
- Three-year cash conversion (operating cash flow / net profit) = -0.16 (20th percentile) — profits are not converting into cash on a multi-year basis.
- Earnings Quality Score 20.6/100 with Revenue quality 18.8/100 and Cash conversion & Receivables quality both 0/100 — poor scores on components that reflect the sustainability and cash backing of reported earnings.
- TATA (Total Accruals to Total Assets) = 0.1465 — this component measures total accruals; a relatively low TATA suggests lower accrual intensity in the balance sheet relative to earnings.
- DEPI (Depreciation Index) = 0.9955 and GMI (Gross Margin Index) = 0.9248 — DEPI close to 1.0 indicates stable depreciation policies; GMI below 1 suggests gross margins have improved rather than deteriorated year-over-year.
- LVGI (Leverage Index) = 1.2397 and SGI (Sales Growth Index) = 1.0303 are moderate — leverage and sales growth measures are not extreme.
- Altman Z-Score = 3.74 (safe zone) — this Altman metric indicates distance from financial distress under its model.
- Piotroski F-Score = 5/9 — a neutral score indicating neither strong deterioration nor particularly strong improvement in fundamental operating signals.
Ownership is highly concentrated in three related institutional shareholders (Công ty TNHH Phát Triển Quang Thái 39.7%, Phát Triển Đổng Đức 24.8%, Phát Triển Đồng Thịnh 14.3%), together controlling nearly 79% of the company; two individuals hold smaller stakes (Lan Wan - Chen 4.9%, Tsai Hsiu-Li 4.4%). No director-deal registrations were provided in the data; registrations with the exchange are intentions, not executed trades.
- Compare the year‑over‑year change in trade receivables and other receivables in the FY2025 balance sheet and the receivables note to identify the composition of the 14.6% 'receivables outside the trade cycle' (prepayments, loans and long-term receivables).
- Reconcile operating cash flow (cash flow statement) to net profit in the FY2023–FY2025 notes to verify the three‑year cash conversion ratio of -0.16 and identify timing items or non‑cash adjustments.
- Review the revenue recognition policy and any related-party transaction disclosures (notes and schedules) to assess drivers of DSRI = 1.7979 and Revenue quality = 18.8/100.
- Inspect the SG&A note and segment or line‑item detail to explain SGAI = 1.3247 (the rise in SG&A relative to sales) and whether increases relate to non-recurring items, marketing expansions, or related-party costs.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.91
- P/S
- 8.19
- ROE
- 5.7%
- ROA
- 4.7%
- EPS
- 745
- BVPS
- 11.539
- Gross Margin
- 93.2%
- Net Margin
- 58.1%
- D/E
- 0.00
- Current Ratio
- 3.28
- Rev Growth
- +3.0%
- Profit Growth
- −21.4%
- EV/EBITDA
- 7.99
- Div Yield
- 38.1%
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 20.0M
- Charter Capital
- 200B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
- Sub-industry
- Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ KD
- Company Type
- CT