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Công ty Cổ phần Dược liệu và Thực phẩm Việt Nam

VietnamConsumerY tếDược phẩmHNXCT
2.700
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+26.8%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
2.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
3.423

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
58.6%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

+5.5percentage points
Consumer12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Consumer peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+5.5
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Y tế→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Y tế” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.655
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
9.98%
Ke
9.98%
x
E/(D+E)
73.16%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.04%
x
D/(D+E)
26.84%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend8.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→3.42B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→2.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+26.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
3.423
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate8.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow3.4 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth5.0%6.5%8.0%9.5%11.0%
8.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
9.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
10.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
11.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
12.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·424294357319329160108868626
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·50.70.20.110102211
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·0000300000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·968414716814922400.08
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·1714120.10.80.652390.08
Net Inventories
·32020921030230513496614425
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·32020921030330513496614425
Other current assets
·30.50.20.8210.920.30.05
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·196201556269736672270.3
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000.030.0400
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000.030.0400
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·195200556268736570260
Tangible fixed assets
·2832384552564853100
Intagible fixed assets
·168168171717171717170
Other non-current assets
·0.50.30.20.20.20.4120.050.08
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.50.30.20.20.20.4120.050.08
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·62049541238139723317415811326
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·243136784873696356176
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·243135754468626052116
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·22913165386556514225
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.30.160.30.513750.4
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.60.834573560
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0.40.634573560
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·3773593343323241641111029620
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·3773593343323241641111029620
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·33133133133131615888888820
Difference upon Assets Revaluation
·0.70.700000000
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·2253186231480.03
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·62049541238139723317415811326
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·33133133133131615888888820
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·232300000000

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
39
Weak
Accrual Quality
32
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
70

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −1.92 · 68th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.03
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.925
GMI
0.451
AQI
0.711
SGI
1.226
DEPI
0.814
SGAI
0.759
TATA
0.205
LVGI
1.431

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
−0.4417th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
2.8%55th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.69
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−1.43
Negative
Composite
80
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.04×Turnover0.86×Leverage1.65=ROE4.7%
Price Risk
Momentum
−42.9%
Volatility
39.6%
Max Drawdown
−48.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.09P/E
P/B
0.25
P/S
0.17
ROE
5.1%
ROA
3.2%
EPS
531
BVPS
10.686
Gross Margin
8.0%
Net Margin
3.3%
D/E
0.61
Current Ratio
1.75
Rev Growth
+22.6%
Profit Growth
+833.8%
EV/EBITDA
7.78
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
33.1M
Charter Capital
331B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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