TIX
Công ty Cổ phần Sản xuất Kinh doanh Xuất nhập khẩu Dịch vụ và Đầu tư Tân Bình
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 39.000
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 47.613
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 3 Nov 2026Valid through 27 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.
Technical details
RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.
RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.
Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- 1.0246th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 0.5%25th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.
The company’s Beneish M-Score is -1.689 (Vietnam peer percentile 75th) with a year-over-year rise of +1.37, signalling that the firm’s accounting is more aggressive than most Vietnamese peers and that accounting signals have moved materially this year. The DSRI component is high at 1.7899 (possible widening of days’ sales receivable relative to sales), while accrual-based metrics look mixed: accruals quality is strong (96.9/100) but receivables quality and revenue quality score 0/100. At the same time, solvency and operational fundamental indicators are healthy: Altman Z-Score 3.55 (safe zone) and Piotroski F-Score 8/9 (strong). Statutory loss tests show none met in the audited FY2025 statements.
- Beneish M-Score = -1.689 (Beneish cutoff -1.78 is US-based); Vietnam peer percentile 75th — this percentile shows the company’s M-Score is higher (more aggressive) than 75% of Vietnamese non-financial peers.
- M-Score year-over-year change = +1.37 — a sizeable upward move in the M-Score compared with the prior year, indicating accounting signals shifted materially this year.
- DSRI = 1.7899 — Days’ Sales Receivable Index above 1 suggests receivables grew faster than sales, which can indicate extended credit terms, slower collections, or revenue recognition timing effects.
- Receivables quality = 0.0/100 and Revenue quality = 0.0/100 — these specific earnings-quality sub-scores flag concerns about the composition or sustainability of reported revenue and the recoverability/timing of receivables.
- Cash conversion (3-year operating cash flow / net profit) = 1.02 (46th percentile) — relatively low percentile implies profits are not converting to cash any better than about half of peers; combined with weak receivables/revenue scores, this elevates scrutiny on cash realization of sales.
- LVGI = 1.0142 and SGI = 1.1109 — modest revenue growth (SGI>1) with some leverage on inventory/working capital (LVGI>1) can amplify the effect of aggressive revenue recognition if present.
- Accruals quality = 96.9/100 — accrual components (non-cash adjustments) appear high-quality in the scoring model used, suggesting low unusual accruals relative to peers.
- TATA = 0.0077 — Total Accruals to Total Assets is small (0.77%), supporting the high accruals-quality score.
- GMI = 0.9026 and SGAI = 0.8999 — Gross Margin Index <1 and SGA index <1 indicate margins and selling/general admin costs have not deteriorated year-over-year by the amounts that often precede aggressive reporting.
- Altman Z-Score = 3.55 — places the company in the safe zone for bankruptcy distance by Altman’s model.
- Piotroski F-Score = 8/9 — strong fundamentals on profitability, leverage/liquidity, and operational efficiency under Piotroski’s tests.
Ownership is concentrated among institutions: CHOLIMEX 20.1%, Tanimex 17.3%, Minh Phat 11.0%, Hưng Phát 6.7%, plus an individual with 9.7%. This majority institutional block structure indicates a few large shareholders control a substantial portion of equity. Director-deal registrations for 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30 show 2 sale registrations (2 traders; 300,000 shares) and 2 purchase registrations (2 traders; 100,000 shares; one purchase without a volume), and these are registered intentions with the exchange rather than executed trades.
- Compare the FY2025 and FY2024 schedules/notes for trade receivables and non-trade receivables: reconcile the components that produce the DSRI = 1.7899 and the receivables-outside-the-trade-cycle figure (0.5% of total assets).
- Reconcile operating cash flow versus reported net profit across FY2023–FY2025 to inspect the cash conversion ratio = 1.02 (three-year operating cash flow / net profit) and identify the items preventing profit from converting to cash.
- Inspect the revenue recognition note, sales cut-off and related-party transaction disclosures to understand drivers of Revenue quality = 0.0/100 and SGI = 1.1109 (sales growth) — look for large year-end sales, returns reserves, or related-party sales.
- Review the notes on prepayments, loans receivable and long-term receivables to verify the composition that gives Receivables outside the trade cycle = 0.5% of total assets and to confirm allowance policies and recoverability.
- Examine the audited statement conclusions and regulatory notes that confirm none of the statutory loss tests under Decree 155/2020 Art.120(1)(e) (amended by Decree 245/2025) were met for FY2025.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 1.38
- P/S
- 4.74
- ROE
- 14.3%
- ROA
- 10.1%
- EPS
- 3.997
- BVPS
- 28.267
- Gross Margin
- 78.8%
- Net Margin
- 48.6%
- D/E
- 0.00
- Current Ratio
- 6.28
- Rev Growth
- +11.1%
- Profit Growth
- +12.3%
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.85
- Div Yield
- 7.7%
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 30.0M
- Charter Capital
- 300B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Bất động sản
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Bất động sản
- Sub-industry
- Bất động sản
- Company Type
- CT