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SRA

Công ty Cổ phần SARA Việt Nam

VietnamConsumerY tếThiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tếHNXCT
1.700
VND · Close 30 Oct 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+22.8%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
1.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
2.087

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
58.6%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

+5.5percentage points
Consumer12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Consumer peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+5.5
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Y tế→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Y tế” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.902
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.06%
Ke
11.06%
x
E/(D+E)
94.19%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.20%
x
D/(D+E)
5.81%
=
WACC
10.66%
2
Growth Estimate
historical blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→27.56B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→1.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+22.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
2.087
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.66%
Growth rate4.00%growth method: historical blend
Base cash flow27.6 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth1.0%2.5%4.0%5.5%7.0%
8.7%2.3182.3182.3182.3182.318
9.7%2.3182.3182.3182.3182.318
10.7%2.1552.1552.1552.1552.179
11.7%2.1222.1222.1222.1552.155
12.7%2.0872.0872.0872.0872.122
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·83924023683551251141447214111115
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·41082413946140.020.10.6
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·0040000173200000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·28643033173121147497281011111
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.61127125926031103830.81082
Net Inventories
·50174826280.8167410.07000
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·50195026280.8167410.07000
Other current assets
·10.922323220.0400.0113
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000000013
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·6906472562812473192633077131311
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.20.2101010904444000
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.20.2101010904444000
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·572122530123300.027
Tangible fixed assets
·462122530123300.020.1
Intagible fixed assets
·0.8100000000000
Investment in properties
·00000000000100
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·666618204204204204229000333
Investments in associate companies
·63939000002000000
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·27228204204204204227000333
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−0.7−0.200000000−0.4−0.3−0.3
Other non-current assets
·111110.010.020.0400000.2
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·111110.010.020.0400000.2
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·7737386586506014443771757821242525
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1097423208921543516111112
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1077223188911443516556
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·66391000800.3070000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·16100000940.80.10.10.1
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·220200.60.9000666
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·220000.60.9000000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·6646646346305943523631322715131313
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·6646646346305943523631322715131313
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·432432432432432252180202020202020
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·3333333333333
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·224224194190156961781074−7−10−10−10
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·7737386586506014443771757821242525
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·4060000000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·432432432432432252180202020202020
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·556621230.50000

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.97 · 16th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.13
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.544
GMI
1.793
AQI
1.023
SGI
0.803
DEPI
0.693
SGAI
1.023
TATA
−0.032
LVGI
1.401

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
7.7694th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.6%27th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.17
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−1.13
Negative
Composite
39
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.25×Interest Burden0.96×Op. Margin0.01×Turnover0.15×Leverage1.16=ROE0.0%
Price Risk
Momentum
−52.8%
Volatility
86.8%
Max Drawdown
−65.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
826.53P/E
P/B
0.11
P/S
0.63
ROE
0.0%
ROA
0.0%
EPS
2
BVPS
15.249
Gross Margin
15.4%
Net Margin
0.2%
D/E
0.10
Current Ratio
0.77
Rev Growth
−19.7%
Profit Growth
−96.2%
EV/EBITDA
10.56
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
43.2M
Charter Capital
432B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Sub-industry
Thiết bị y tế
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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