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Công ty Cổ phần Công nghệ Sao Bắc Đẩu

VietnamTechnologyCông nghệ Thông tinPhần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tínhUPCOMCT
7.800
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+39.9%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
7.800
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.913

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
  • The cash-flow figures needed for a comparison are missing.

Also note

  • The model’s gap was capped before calibration.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Công nghệ Thông tin→Technology
Classified as technology because ICB sector “Công nghệ Thông tin” maps to the technology group.
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF lets growth fade more slowly than in any other sector, recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

Technical details
Why this model

Tech firms combine high growth potential with current profitability that peers can benchmark. Pure DCF could overvalue if growth assumptions are too aggressive. The P/E blend acts as a market-calibrated anchor, while the PEG-based cap prevents paying excessive multiples.

How it works

DCF: 10-year FCF projection with growth capped at 20%, fading more slowly than in any other sector toward the sector's long-run growth rate. P/E: 5-year median P/E capped at dynamic ceiling (growth x 1.5, max 30). Blend: 60% DCF + 40% P/E.

Best for

Technology and IT companies where high growth potential must be balanced against the risk of speculative overvaluation.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.80%
Ke
12.80%
x
E/(D+E)
32.93%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.45%
x
D/(D+E)
67.07%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E→8x
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→7.800
Calibrated value vs last close→+39.9%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.913
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate5.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flowone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%8.0%
8.0%10.91310.91310.91310.91310.913
9.0%10.91310.91310.91310.91310.913
10.0%10.91310.91310.91310.91310.913
11.0%10.91310.91310.91310.91310.913
12.0%10.91310.91310.91310.91310.913
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·651388502671···615613542439291237
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·8311257···575858181730
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·00.770···1300000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·275218285467···452503322325229186
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·216195···13111165178
Net Inventories
·287157185196···905115860345
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·287157185196···905116262367
Other current assets
·60.40.50.5···313361016
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000···000047
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·106145143118···1349171765557
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·16292624···0.80.100.050.500
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·101075···0.80.100.050.500
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·71959468···636357635255
Tangible fixed assets
·35466055···535557634345
Leased assets
·28392710···1080000
Intagible fixed assets
·81083···0.40.10.20.06910
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·8101011···600000
Investments in associate companies
·10101011···600000
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·1111···0.300000
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−3−1−1−1···000000
Other non-current assets
·89710···3325131232
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·8979···3225131221
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·757533645789···749704612515346294
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·600379500662···607565498410248202
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·560336482649···603561496403247199
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·291253282327···3152621891147182
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·104232958···36222671923
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·40431813···44171.03
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·4040159···44061.03
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·157154146127···1421391151049886
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·157154146127···1421391151049886
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·139139135122···999085838080
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·0000···30.90.90.10.30.3
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·1714105···26352114148
Minority Interest
·0000···000006
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·757533645789···749704612515346294
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000.9···0.800000
Long-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0500···000000
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·139139135122···999085838080
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·0.410.80.8···14139770
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2023
82
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2023
Remainder
M −3.41 · 9th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.13
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.676
GMI
0.976
AQI
1.179
SGI
0.902
DEPI
1.392
SGAI
0.964
TATA
−0.146
LVGI
0.922

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
4.2%63rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.30
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−0.03
Negative
Composite
47
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.61×Interest Burden0.66×Op. Margin0.01×Turnover0.96×Leverage4.83=ROE2.7%
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.6%
Volatility
97.2%
Max Drawdown
−23.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
27.13P/E
P/B
0.69
P/S
0.15
ROE
2.6%
ROA
0.6%
EPS
288
BVPS
11.244
Gross Margin
18.5%
Net Margin
0.6%
D/E
2.11
Current Ratio
1.16
EV/EBITDA
9.76
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
13.9M
Charter Capital
139B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Sub-industry
Phần mềm
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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