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Công ty Cổ phần Xếp dỡ và Dịch vụ cảng Sài Gòn

VietnamConstructionHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpVận tảiUPCOMCT
11.300
VND · Close 2 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+22.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
11.300
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.807

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp→Construction
Classified as construction because ICB sector “Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp” maps to the construction group.
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Construction and industrial firms have lumpy, project-based earnings that swing with the building cycle. Order books fill and empty, so a single year's profit is a poor guide to normal earning power. This model values them on through-cycle EBITDA: a 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) times a fair EV/EBITDA multiple, less net debt. It mirrors the cyclical model.

Technical details
Why this model

Project-based revenue is lumpy and asset-backed. EV/EBITDA is capital-structure-neutral and undistorted by depreciation policy, and mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across the building cycle so a firm isn't overvalued at a peak or undervalued at a trough.

How it works

Computes 7-year median EBITDA and a fair EV/EBITDA from the firm's own history blended toward the construction-sector median. Net debt is taken directly from the balance sheet (short- plus long-term borrowings minus cash and short-term investments, which hold most term deposits). Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.

Best for

Construction & materials and industrial goods & services companies with lumpy, project-based revenue and asset-backed balance sheets.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA→5.60B
Fair EV/EBITDA→4.0x
Years of data→7
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→11.300
Calibrated value vs last close→+22.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
13.807
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Mid-cycle EBITDA5.6 tỷebitda source: own medianyears of data: 7
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5754777376·73826357493935
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·518201823·17372722101014
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·3624414037·304154211412
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·1611161316·2540203016149
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.060.050.050.20.3·0.20.20.030.400.10.3
Net Inventories
·0.30.60.40.70.3·0.30.410.40.30.70.4
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·0.30.60.40.70.3·0.30.410.40.30.70.4
Other current assets
·0.0200.10.10.2·0.80.20110.70.1
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000·00000.050.060.1
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·76589·18222928212224
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.70.70.031.00.03·0.030.20.10.70.100
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.70.70.031.00.03·0.030.20.10.70.100
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·65468·17202625191717
Tangible fixed assets
·65468·17202625191717
Intagible fixed assets
·00000.04·0.20.30.20.30.20.20
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·0.60.6111·11220.856
Investments in associate companies
·0.30.30.30.30.3·0.30.30.310.80.40.4
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·0.60.60.80.80.8·0.80.810056
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−0.3−0.3000·0000000
Other non-current assets
·00000·0.000.030.60.50.50.041
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·00000·0.000.030.60.50.50.041
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·6460828185·911039285706259
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·151211913·17322933282018
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·151211913·17322933282018
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.02000.9700,000·0000000
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·000.030.030.03·0.030.030.030.020.060.050.06
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·5048727172·74726352424141
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·5048727172·74726352424141
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·4141414141·41414141414141
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·44433·3332210.7
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·65282829·312921100.30.20.2
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·6460828185·911039285706259
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·4141414141·41414141414141

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
52
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
48
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
75

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.01 · 65th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.05
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.365
GMI
0.947
AQI
0.941
SGI
1.035
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
0.930
TATA
0.039
LVGI
1.118

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.9443rd pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.1%38th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.13
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.46
Negative
Composite
60
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.79×Interest Burden1.19×Op. Margin0.06×Turnover1.64×Leverage1.30=ROE12.6%
Price Risk
Momentum
−10.0%
Volatility
48.6%
Max Drawdown
−22.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.97P/E
P/B
0.88
P/S
0.42
ROE
12.8%
ROA
10.1%
EPS
1.592
BVPS
12.599
Gross Margin
14.6%
Net Margin
6.0%
D/E
0.00
Current Ratio
3.90
EV/EBITDA
0.41
Div Yield
7.9%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
4.0M
Charter Capital
39.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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