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Công ty Cổ phần Điện cơ Hải Phòng

VietnamCyclicalsHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpĐiện tử & Thiết bị điệnHNXCT
11.000
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+9.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
11.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
12.011

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện tử & Thiết bị điện→Cyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector “Điện tử & Thiết bị điện” maps to the cyclical group.
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Technical details
Why this model

Commodity/basic-material earnings swing with global prices. Using mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across booms and busts, preventing overpayment at cyclical peaks. EV/EBITDA is preferred over P/E because it's capital-structure-neutral and not distorted by depreciation policies.

How it works

Computes the 7-year median EBITDA and the 7-year median EV/EBITDA. With fewer than 5 years of its own EBITDA, the company's EBITDA is estimated as revenue x the sector median margin. When mid-cycle EBITDA is not positive, the value is 70% of book value per share. Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.

Best for

Commodity producers, basic materials, chemicals, and oil & gas companies with multi-year earnings cycles.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA→22.44B
Fair EV/EBITDA→4.8x
Years of data→7
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→11.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+9.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
12.011
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Mid-cycle EBITDA22.4 tỷebitda source: own medianyears of data: 7
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1531331461621441201291101171199710198
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·1512517797445340.9
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·2212111100000000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·91089231212181114121613
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·5210.3810.930.8520.50.2
Net Inventories
·126109120123101971088810399788082
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·126109120123101971088810399788082
Other current assets
·0.60.40.332220.60.40.840.71
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.060.02
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·56616669717681848390855456
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·35404547495461648390854445
Tangible fixed assets
·35404547495461647279854445
Intagible fixed assets
·0000000011110.070.090.1
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·202020202020202000000
Investment in joint ventures
·00000002000000
Investments in associate companies
·20202020202020000000
Other non-current assets
·0.70.91110.90.70.30001111
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.70.91110.90.70.300000
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·209194212232214196210195200209182155154
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·32204163503349364864393445
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·32204163503349324252363445
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·94212922828192837242031
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·50.628341.00.51.010.40.30.3
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·00000.10.30.7361230.40
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·00000.10.30.7361230.40
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·177174171169165162161159152145142113101
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·177174171169165162161159152145142113101
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·95959595959595959595959595
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·15141311109887640.80.6
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·6766646260585856504543164
Minority Interest
·0000000000088
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·209194212232214196210195200209182155154
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·95959595959595959595959595
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
60
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
32
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
50
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.54 · 36th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.26
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.950
GMI
1.043
AQI
0.923
SGI
0.966
DEPI
1.000
SGAI
1.001
TATA
0.038
LVGI
1.475

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
0.8941st pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
2.3%51st pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
4.66
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
67
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.81×Interest Burden1.01×Op. Margin0.07×Turnover1.10×Leverage1.18=ROE7.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.5%
Volatility
25.9%
Max Drawdown
−14.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.95P/E
P/B
0.59
P/S
0.45
ROE
7.5%
ROA
6.5%
EPS
1.383
BVPS
18.675
Gross Margin
14.1%
Net Margin
5.7%
D/E
0.05
Current Ratio
4.83
Rev Growth
−3.4%
Profit Growth
−0.6%
EV/EBITDA
4.84
Div Yield
4.5%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
9.5M
Charter Capital
94.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
Sub-industry
Thiết bị điện
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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